NWG — Natwest Group PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Natwest Group PLC

NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and o… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.11
Market Cap$62.76B
Float7.93B
Shares Outstanding3.98B
P/E (Forward)8.56
P/E (TTM)8.17
Price/Sales (TTM)3.86
vs. Analyst Target+19.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin36.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)50.26%
Revenue (TTM)$16.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)15.60%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$19.24 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $13.08B -$372M $10.76B $361M
2021 $12.04B $3.27B $10.34B $4.77B
2022 $16.15B $3.59B $13.35B $5.96B
2023 $24.76B $4.64B $14.78B $7.11B
2024 $28.57B $4.80B $14.65B $7.25B
2025 $29.48B $5.83B $16.61B $8.86B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.25B $1.33B
Sep 2025 $7.55B $1.68B
Dec 2025 $7.39B $1.48B
Mar 2026 $7.38B $1.50B

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership5.1%
Short Float0.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.75%
Number of Funds Holding390

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$15.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.05Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.40 resistance 1.13x 2 months ago
$12.80 support 1.48x 11 months ago
$12.00 support 1.54x 12 months ago
$10.60 support 2.30x 14 months ago
$10.10 support 1.26x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.00% 46.15% 5.05% -5.78%
1 Day 0.03% 0.00% 49.23% 5.26% -4.70%
1 Week -0.76% -0.46% 43.08% 14.73% -25.58%
2 Weeks -0.75% -0.68% 47.69% 25.70% -20.80%
1 Month 0.32% 1.18% 53.13% 42.01% -49.27%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%63.2%19
Feb0.8%52.6%19
Mar-4.2%31.6%19
Apr8.1%78.9%19
May-1.2%55.6%18
Jun-5.0%27.8%18
Jul4.7%50.0%18
Aug-2.0%44.4%18
Sep-1.0%50.0%18
Oct-2.5%61.1%18
Nov-0.8%42.1%19
Dec1.7%57.9%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 48.7% 878
Tuesday 0.01% 51.2% 962
Wednesday 0.16% 51.9% 960
Thursday 0.09% 51.9% 940
Friday -0.06% 48.9% 938

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 5.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Natwest Group PLC (NWG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NWG on Trend Edge →