NWBI — Northwest Bancshares Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NWBI Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 40, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Northwest Bancshares Inc

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Northwest Bank, a state-chartered savings bank that provides personal and commercial banking solutions in Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, and Indiana in the United States. The company accepts various deposits, including checking, savings, money market deposit, term certificate, and individual retirement accounts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.04
Market Cap$2.19B
Float144.6M
Shares Outstanding146.3M
P/E (Forward)13.40
P/E (TTM)16.25
Price/Sales (TTM)3.52
vs. Analyst Target-0.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)42.40%
Revenue (TTM)$622M
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$15.00 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $563M $74.9M $437M $97.3M
2021 $534M $154M $523M $208M
2022 $558M $134M $501M $180M
2023 $700M $135M $525M $200M
2024 $754M $100M $496M $151M
2025 $877M $126M $599M $165M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $202M $33.7M
Sep 2025 $226M $3.2M
Dec 2025 $241M $45.7M
Mar 2026 $234M $50.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership71.1%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.46%
Number of Funds Holding284

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.99Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.19Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.38Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.10 support 1.24x 0 months ago
$12.80 support 1.01x 2 months ago
$12.10 support 1.09x 5 months ago
$11.70 support 1.19x 10 months ago
$11.60 support 1.19x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 46.55% 7.21% -5.50%
1 Day 0.01% 0.00% 47.41% 11.54% -11.71%
1 Week -0.33% -1.03% 38.79% 20.72% -12.20%
2 Weeks -0.27% -0.63% 41.38% 17.41% -11.11%
1 Month 0.64% 0.29% 50.43% 24.81% -27.81%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%50.0%32
Feb0.1%53.1%32
Mar0.5%65.6%32
Apr-0.6%53.1%32
May0.1%56.3%32
Jun1.2%68.8%32
Jul1.5%51.6%31
Aug1.0%61.3%31
Sep1.3%51.6%31
Oct3.1%67.7%31
Nov1.9%61.3%31
Dec-0.1%37.5%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 47.5% 1497
Tuesday 0.01% 47.7% 1636
Wednesday 0.00% 45.6% 1635
Thursday 0.13% 49.5% 1602
Friday 0.08% 48.2% 1595

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 71.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value+$212,044.53
Net Shares Change-62,590
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hunter Timothy M +$139,675 1 1 buy
Bowers Urich T Chief Cons. Banking /Strat Off +$97,825 1 1 buy
Betchkal Gregory J. Chief Risk Officer +$69,650 1 1 buy
Torchio Louis J President & CEO +$42,560 1 1 buy
CAMPANA ROBERT M +$25,248.2 1 1 buy
Schosser Douglas M Chief Financial Officer +$20,883 1 1 buy
Chadsey Deborah J Esq. +$20,034.5 1 1 buy
Barnum Carey A. Chief Auditor -$18,873.47 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-21 – 2025-12-02 4 4 +$64,351.23
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-04 4 4 +$169,484.53 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 Bowers Urich T Chief Cons. Banking /Strat Off +$97,825 Transaction at $13.97, now +7.6%
2026-05-04 Betchkal Gregory J. Chief Risk Officer +$69,650 Transaction at $13.93, now +8.0%
2026-05-04 Schosser Douglas M Chief Financial Officer +$20,883 Transaction at $13.92, now +8.0%
2026-05-28 Hunter Timothy M +$139,675 Transaction at $13.97, now +7.7%
2026-05-04 Barnum Carey A. Chief Auditor -$18,873.47 Transaction at $13.97, now +7.7%
2026-03-09 Torchio Louis J President & CEO +$42,560 Transaction at $12.16, now +23.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Northwest Bancshares Inc (NWBI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NWBI on Trend Edge →