NIC — Nicolet Bankshares Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NIC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 60, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction60
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Nicolet Bankshares Inc.

Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Nicolet National Bank that provides banking products and services for businesses and individuals in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota. The company accepts demand deposits, checking, savings, and money market accounts; various certificates of deposit; and individual retirement accounts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$164.08
Market Cap$3.47B
Float20.1M
Shares Outstanding21.3M
P/E (Forward)14.84
P/E (TTM)19.15
Price/Sales (TTM)8.09
vs. Analyst Target+8.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)50.52%
Revenue (TTM)$429M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-61.10%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$177.80 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $213M $60.1M $183M $91.6M
2021 $239M $60.7M $211M $95.0M
2022 $332M $94.3M $287M $148M
2023 $417M $61.5M $273M $105M
2024 $519M $124M $345M $172M
2025 $553M $151M $384M $202M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $138M $36.0M
Sep 2025 $144M $41.7M
Dec 2025 $139M $40.3M
Mar 2026 $102M $15.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.6%
Institutional Ownership55.0%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.57%
Number of Funds Holding211

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$149.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$140.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$130.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$100.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$142.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$131.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$139.00 support 2.56x 0 months ago
$121.00 support 1.70x 5 months ago
$108.00 support 1.17x 14 months ago
$104.00 support 1.45x 19 months ago
$83.00 support 1.96x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (46 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% 0.03% 50.00% 4.01% -5.24%
1 Day 0.86% 0.75% 69.57% 10.29% -9.73%
1 Week 1.94% 2.56% 67.39% 13.23% -10.30%
2 Weeks 2.52% 2.42% 65.22% 19.29% -10.45%
1 Month 3.97% 3.48% 75.56% 18.75% -18.40%

Next earnings: July 21, 2026 (8 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%69.2%13
Feb2.5%76.9%13
Mar1.2%53.8%13
Apr-1.6%46.2%13
May1.7%61.5%13
Jun3.4%71.4%14
Jul5.2%69.2%13
Aug0.4%61.5%13
Sep-2.0%30.8%13
Oct1.7%69.2%13
Nov3.8%69.2%13
Dec1.5%46.2%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.20% 46.8% 620
Tuesday 0.04% 42.4% 681
Wednesday 0.01% 42.0% 676
Thursday 0.19% 49.8% 663
Friday 0.02% 47.2% 661

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 55.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.6%

Founder-led management: Bob Atwell (Executive Director), Mike Daniels (President, CEO & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$1.0M
Net Shares Change3,174
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ATWELL ROBERT BRUCE -$3.5M 3 3 sell
Witczak Eric James EVP & Secretary -$1.0M 3 3 sell
WEYERS ROBERT J +$347,199.9 1 1 buy
Ghidorzi Christopher J. +$12,759.6 1 1 buy
MOORE HUBERT PHILLIP JR CFO +$3,081.11 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-31 – 2025-11-06 3 3 +$387,761.1 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-20 MOORE HUBERT PHILLIP JR CFO -$24,720.49 Transaction at $120.19, now +36.5%
2025-10-31 MOORE HUBERT PHILLIP JR CFO +$27,801.6 Transaction at $115.84, now +41.6%
2025-11-03 WEYERS ROBERT J +$347,199.9 Transaction at $115.73, now +41.8%
2025-11-06 Ghidorzi Christopher J. +$12,759.6 Transaction at $121.52, now +35.0%
2026-02-20 ATWELL ROBERT BRUCE -$1.6M Transaction at $119.83, now +36.9%
2026-03-16 ATWELL ROBERT BRUCE -$936,982.823 Transaction at $118.84, now +38.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nicolet Bankshares Inc. (NIC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NIC on Trend Edge →