NECB — Northeast Community Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NECB Bullish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 33, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Northeast Community Bancorp Inc

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for NorthEast Community Bank that provides financial services for individuals and businesses. It accepts various deposit instruments, including checking accounts, money market accounts, regular savings accounts, and non-interest-bearing demand accounts, as well as certificates of deposits. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.41
Market Cap$359M
Float11.8M
Shares Outstanding13.8M
P/E (Forward)15.67
P/E (TTM)8.07
Price/Sales (TTM)3.43
vs. Analyst Target+12.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin41.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)56.36%
Revenue (TTM)$105M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-5.10%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$29.75 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $51.6M $12.3M $40.8M $16.7M
2021 $50.8M $11.9M $42.0M $16.7M
2022 $73.6M $24.8M $65.0M $35.7M
2023 $134M $46.3M $97.4M $66.0M
2024 $160M $47.1M $102M $67.0M
2025 $157M $44.4M $104M $63.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $38.1M $11.2M
Sep 2025 $39.5M $11.9M
Dec 2025 $39.3M $10.8M
Mar 2026 $36.8M $10.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.6%
Institutional Ownership56.3%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.36%
Number of Funds Holding112

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.57Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.11Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.77Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.20 support 1.22x 0 months ago
$21.10 support 1.07x 6 months ago
$30.00 resistance 1.34x 18 months ago
$18.00 support 1.30x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.00% 40.79% 6.47% -2.70%
1 Day 0.15% 0.00% 47.37% 5.50% -4.22%
1 Week 0.88% 0.00% 48.68% 18.50% -10.13%
2 Weeks 0.71% -0.07% 48.68% 17.55% -11.80%
1 Month 1.41% 1.47% 57.33% 19.96% -24.18%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%60.0%20
Feb0.5%50.0%20
Mar-3.2%40.0%20
Apr1.0%65.0%20
May1.1%50.0%20
Jun0.6%55.0%20
Jul0.7%52.6%19
Aug1.4%65.0%20
Sep0.6%60.0%20
Oct2.1%50.0%20
Nov1.5%55.0%20
Dec0.5%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 38.9% 944
Tuesday 0.06% 38.6% 1034
Wednesday 0.13% 40.0% 1033
Thursday -0.04% 37.2% 1013
Friday 0.00% 40.1% 1009

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 56.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$271,814.089
Net Shares Change-22,007
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hom Donald S EVP and CFO -$150,322 3 4 sell
Collazo Jose M President and COO -$121,492.089 1 1 sell
Cirillo Charles Michael -$81,804.04 1 1 sell
McKenzie John F -$71,550 1 1 sell
Martinek Charles A -$46,935.2 1 1 sell
Cavanaugh Diane B -$23,598 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-11 – 2025-12-12 3 3 -$118,053.2 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-29 Hom Donald S EVP and CFO -$80,757 Transaction at $20.19, now +30.8%
2026-03-13 Cirillo Charles Michael -$81,804.04 Transaction at $22.94, now +15.1%
2026-03-06 McKenzie John F -$71,550 Transaction at $23.85, now +10.7%
2025-12-12 Hom Donald S EVP and CFO -$47,520 Transaction at $23.76, now +11.2%
2025-08-27 Collazo Jose M President and COO -$121,492.089 Transaction at $22.33, now +18.3%
2025-08-13 Hom Donald S EVP and CFO -$22,045 Transaction at $22.05, now +19.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Northeast Community Bancorp Inc (NECB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NECB on Trend Edge →