NBTB — NBT Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NBT Bancorp Inc

NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments. The company offers demand deposit, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts; and indirect and direct consumer loans, home equity loans and lines of credit… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$46.58
Market Cap$2.37B
Float51.0M
Shares Outstanding52.0M
P/E (Forward)13.40
P/E (TTM)12.87
Price/Sales (TTM)3.42
vs. Analyst Target+5.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.60%
Revenue (TTM)$697M
Earnings Growth (YoY)27.30%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$48.92 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $491M $104M $408M $154M
2021 $495M $155M $484M $220M
2022 $537M $152M $498M $215M
2023 $662M $119M $493M $176M
2024 $786M $141M $555M $207M
2025 $867M $169M $626M $241M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $224M $22.5M
Sep 2025 $239M $54.5M
Dec 2025 $238M $55.5M
Mar 2026 $233M $51.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.8%
Institutional Ownership65.7%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.32%
Number of Funds Holding273

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.55Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$43.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$43.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$40.79Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$42.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$43.86Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$40.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$44.00 support 1.18x 0 months ago
$47.00 resistance 1.25x 13 months ago
$38.60 support 1.41x 21 months ago
$34.30 support 1.30x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.02% 50.00% 4.64% -4.53%
1 Day 0.28% 0.48% 55.74% 8.11% -11.24%
1 Week 0.56% 0.03% 50.00% 18.30% -11.10%
2 Weeks 0.97% 0.73% 54.10% 20.80% -14.80%
1 Month 0.94% 1.05% 56.20% 18.61% -20.69%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.6%35.3%34
Feb-1.1%38.2%34
Mar1.8%64.7%34
Apr-0.7%42.9%35
May0.3%50.0%34
Jun2.8%58.8%34
Jul1.3%50.0%34
Aug-0.3%50.0%34
Sep0.0%44.1%34
Oct3.6%61.8%34
Nov3.2%67.6%34
Dec0.5%55.9%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 47.6% 1619
Tuesday 0.09% 46.7% 1767
Wednesday 0.03% 45.9% 1766
Thursday 0.03% 45.6% 1732
Friday 0.11% 46.2% 1722

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$481,891.868
Net Shares Change19,487
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DELANEY TIMOTHY E +$2.4M 4 4 buy
NASCA DAVID J -$851,103.451 1 1 sell
WATT JOHN H JR -$330,678.2 1 1 sell
Wiles Amy EVP, Chief Risk and Credit -$202,771.748 1 1 sell
Halliday Sarah A EVP/Chief Comm Innovation Off -$179,999.88 1 N/A
Sparks Martin Randolph EVP,General Counsel,Secretary -$99,120.24 1 1 sell
Brown Jason David +$14,385 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-13 DELANEY TIMOTHY E +$976,708.1 Transaction at $42.97, now +8.4%
2026-03-17 Sparks Martin Randolph EVP,General Counsel,Secretary -$99,120.24 Transaction at $41.30, now +12.8%
2026-01-29 DELANEY TIMOTHY E +$976,708.1 Transaction at $42.97, now +8.4%
2026-02-18 Wiles Amy EVP, Chief Risk and Credit -$202,771.748 Transaction at $45.72, now +1.9%
2025-11-07 DELANEY TIMOTHY E +$409,750 Transaction at $40.98, now +13.7%
2025-11-03 DELANEY TIMOTHY E +$81,000 Transaction at $40.50, now +15.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NBT Bancorp Inc (NBTB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NBTB on Trend Edge →