MTG — MGIC Investment Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MGIC Investment Corp

MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam. The company offers primary insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans, as well as covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and various expenses associated with the default and … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.02
Market Cap$5.53B
Float197.0M
Shares Outstanding211.5M
P/E (Forward)8.44
P/E (TTM)8.31
Price/Sales (TTM)4.60
vs. Analyst Target+10.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin59.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)72.62%
Revenue (TTM)$1.20B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.30%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$28.80 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.20B $446M $822M $677M
2021 $1.19B $635M $1.11B $939M
2022 $1.17B $865M $1.41B $1.19B
2023 $1.16B $713M $1.16B $902M
2024 $1.21B $763M $1.21B $1.02B
2025 $1.21B $738M $1.15B $971M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $304M $192M
Sep 2025 $305M $191M
Dec 2025 $299M $169M
Mar 2026 $297M $165M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership103.9%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding5.69%
Number of Funds Holding468

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$27.34Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.10 resistance 1.13x 3 months ago
$19.90 support 1.27x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.43% 0.06% 52.03% 25.35% -5.12%
1 Day 0.01% 0.14% 52.03% 27.18% -9.10%
1 Week 1.02% -0.12% 49.59% 64.77% -60.77%
2 Weeks 1.92% -0.11% 49.59% 76.40% -39.35%
1 Month 1.91% 1.34% 54.92% 81.65% -62.59%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.8%57.1%35
Feb-0.5%48.6%35
Mar1.0%48.6%35
Apr5.3%62.9%35
May3.2%58.8%34
Jun-3.7%44.1%34
Jul4.1%64.7%34
Aug-1.4%52.9%34
Sep-0.3%51.4%35
Oct0.4%60.0%35
Nov2.0%60.0%35
Dec6.8%71.4%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 48.8% 1649
Tuesday 0.19% 51.1% 1799
Wednesday 0.10% 49.1% 1795
Thursday 0.13% 50.6% 1763
Friday 0.11% 48.1% 1754

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$29.8M
Net Shares Change-1,107,044
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings20
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mattke Timothy J. Chief Executive Officer -$14.8M 4 N/A
Miosi Salvatore A President and COO -$5.9M 3 N/A
Maggio Paula C EVP and General Counsel -$1.6M 3 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-04 – 2025-08-08 3 3 -$5.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-03 Mattke Timothy J. Chief Executive Officer -$3.7M Transaction at $26.49, now -1.8%
2026-03-03 Miosi Salvatore A President and COO -$4.2M Transaction at $26.78, now -2.8%
2026-01-14 Mattke Timothy J. Chief Executive Officer -$3.7M Transaction at $26.51, now -1.8%
2026-02-03 Miosi Salvatore A President and COO -$817,980 Transaction at $27.27, now -4.6%
2025-10-08 Mattke Timothy J. Chief Executive Officer -$3.8M Transaction at $27.09, now -4.0%
2025-08-08 Mattke Timothy J. Chief Executive Officer -$3.7M Transaction at $26.54, now -1.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTG on Trend Edge →