AXS — AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXS Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 15, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction15
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various specialty insurance and reinsurance products in Bermuda, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Insurance and Reinsurance. Its Insurance segment offers professional insurance products that cover directors' and officers' liability, errors and omissions, employment practices, fiduciary, crime, professional indemnity, medical malprac… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$99.41
Market Cap$7.19B
Float68.1M
Shares Outstanding73.0M
P/E (Forward)7.60
P/E (TTM)7.02
Price/Sales (TTM)1.06
vs. Analyst Target+24.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.18%
Revenue (TTM)$6.81B
Earnings Growth (YoY)24.30%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$124.18 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.76B -$120M $550M $11.7M
2021 $5.32B $619M $1.39B $778M
2022 $5.30B $223M $1.04B $375M
2023 $5.59B $376M $1.20B $542M
2024 $6.02B $1.08B $1.79B $1.13B
2025 $6.56B $1.01B $3.28B $1.35B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.69B $302M
Dec 2025 $1.73B $290M
Mar 2026 $1.64B $255M
Jun 2026 $1.75B $383M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership101.7%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.31%
Number of Funds Holding467

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$107.46Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$103.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$100.27Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$79.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$102.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$100.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$83.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$94.00 support 1.12x 1 months ago
$91.00 support 1.07x 17 months ago
$72.00 support 1.04x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.24% 55.91% 6.54% -17.88%
1 Day 0.24% 0.04% 51.61% 7.50% -11.16%
1 Week 0.47% 1.38% 56.99% 13.00% -12.59%
2 Weeks 0.59% 0.60% 54.84% 16.36% -16.63%
1 Month 1.60% 1.93% 59.78% 18.55% -19.00%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%47.8%23
Feb1.0%60.9%23
Mar-1.1%43.5%23
Apr0.7%43.5%23
May0.5%52.2%23
Jun0.2%47.8%23
Jul0.4%60.9%23
Aug1.5%52.2%23
Sep-0.5%47.8%23
Oct0.6%52.2%23
Nov3.6%60.9%23
Dec1.0%65.2%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 50.4% 1092
Tuesday 0.09% 49.9% 1196
Wednesday -0.00% 50.9% 1197
Thursday -0.01% 50.5% 1172
Friday 0.07% 51.9% 1166

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-2,406,675
% of Float-3.5%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DAVIS CHARLES A -$238M 1 1 sell
SMITH HENRY B -$250,869.98 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 SMITH HENRY B -$250,869.98 Transaction at $98.69, now +0.7%
2025-11-21 DAVIS CHARLES A -$238M Transaction at $98.90, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd (AXS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXS on Trend Edge →