MPB — Mid Penn Bancorp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MPB Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 46, actionability 40. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction46
Actionability40 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mid Penn Bancorp

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Mid Penn Bank that provides commercial banking services to individuals, institutional clients, partnerships, non-profit organizations, businesses, and corporations in Pennsylvania and New Jersey, the United States. The company offers various time and demand deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, clubs, money market deposit accounts, certificates of deposit, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.73
Market Cap$910M
Float21.9M
Shares Outstanding25.3M
P/E (Forward)11.06
P/E (TTM)12.47
Price/Sales (TTM)3.45
vs. Analyst Target+12.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.03%
Revenue (TTM)$264M
Earnings Growth (YoY)286.40%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$40.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $123M $26.2M $98.8M $37.8M
2021 $144M $29.3M $126M $40.7M
2022 $187M $54.8M $165M $73.8M
2023 $236M $37.4M $236M $44.7M
2024 $307M $49.4M $175M $66.9M
2025 $327M $56.2M $201M $77.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $94.0M $18.3M
Dec 2025 $92.4M $19.4M
Mar 2026 $77.6M $8.7M
Jun 2026 $96.7M $21.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.8%
Institutional Ownership53.9%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.66%
Number of Funds Holding146

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$34.27Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.41Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.63Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.00 support 1.48x 3 months ago
$26.60 support 1.18x 15 months ago
$25.80 support 2.26x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (109 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.00% 34.86% 13.89% -9.59%
1 Day 0.28% 0.00% 38.53% 22.22% -9.59%
1 Week 1.17% 1.03% 59.63% 29.63% -15.52%
2 Weeks 0.95% 0.50% 52.29% 29.63% -18.31%
1 Month 2.95% 1.58% 63.30% 37.33% -18.75%

Next earnings: October 28, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%41.4%29
Feb1.2%44.8%29
Mar-3.0%41.4%29
Apr0.6%41.4%29
May2.1%58.6%29
Jun-0.2%41.4%29
Jul1.0%48.3%29
Aug0.8%65.5%29
Sep-2.1%27.6%29
Oct-0.4%42.9%28
Nov4.1%64.3%28
Dec0.1%42.9%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 33.9% 1362
Tuesday -0.01% 31.7% 1489
Wednesday -0.03% 34.0% 1489
Thursday -0.01% 32.6% 1459
Friday 0.17% 34.8% 1452

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings32
Net Value+$7,127.86
Net Shares Change14,366
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
De Soto Matthew G +$139,896.764 3 4 buy
Evans Albert J. +$9,982.8 1 1 buy
RITRIEVI RORY G President and CEO +$7,154.51 1 1 buy
MOWERY THEODORE W +$4,003.12 2 2 buy
Frank Joel L. +$2,478 1 1 buy
Brumbaugh Kimberly J +$2,478 1 1 buy
Abel Robert A +$495.6 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-02 – 2026-01-02 6 6 +$25,436.4
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-10 3 3 +$87,290.25 1 C-suite
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-01 6 6 +$27,496.8
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-02 6 6 +$27,558.44
2026-10-02 – 2026-10-02 6 6 +$27,435

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-17 RITRIEVI RORY G President and CEO +$7,154.51 Transaction at $37.07, now -3.6%
2026-10-02 MOWERY THEODORE W +$1,982.4 Transaction at $35.40, now +0.9%
2026-10-02 Frank Joel L. +$2,478 Transaction at $35.40, now +0.9%
2026-10-02 Evans Albert J. +$9,982.8 Transaction at $35.40, now +0.9%
2026-10-02 De Soto Matthew G +$10,018.2 Transaction at $35.40, now +0.9%
2026-10-02 Brumbaugh Kimberly J +$2,478 Transaction at $35.40, now +0.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPB on Trend Edge →