MPB — Mid Penn Bancorp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MPB Bullish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 43, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mid Penn Bancorp

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Mid Penn Bank that provides commercial banking services to individuals, institutional clients, partnerships, non-profit organizations, businesses, and corporations in Pennsylvania and New Jersey, the United States. The company offers various time and demand deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, clubs, money market deposit accounts, certificates of deposit, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$37.24
Market Cap$943M
Float21.9M
Shares Outstanding25.3M
P/E (Forward)11.06
P/E (TTM)12.83
Price/Sales (TTM)3.58
vs. Analyst Target+8.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.03%
Revenue (TTM)$264M
Earnings Growth (YoY)286.40%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$40.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $123M $26.2M $98.8M $37.8M
2021 $144M $29.3M $126M $40.7M
2022 $187M $54.8M $165M $73.8M
2023 $236M $37.4M $236M $44.7M
2024 $307M $49.4M $175M $66.9M
2025 $327M $56.2M $201M $77.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $94.0M $18.3M
Dec 2025 $92.4M $19.4M
Mar 2026 $77.6M $8.7M
Jun 2026 $96.7M $21.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.8%
Institutional Ownership54.2%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.66%
Number of Funds Holding146

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$30.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.52Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$30.83Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.45Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.00 support 1.35x 0 months ago
$32.40 support 1.51x 1 months ago
$25.80 support 2.26x 15 months ago
$22.10 support 1.25x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (109 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.00% 35.78% 13.89% -9.59%
1 Day 0.34% 0.00% 39.45% 22.22% -9.59%
1 Week 1.18% 1.03% 59.63% 29.63% -15.52%
2 Weeks 0.95% 0.50% 52.29% 29.63% -18.31%
1 Month 2.93% 1.52% 62.96% 37.33% -18.75%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%41.4%29
Feb1.2%44.8%29
Mar-3.0%41.4%29
Apr0.6%41.4%29
May2.1%58.6%29
Jun-0.2%41.4%29
Jul1.0%48.3%29
Aug1.1%67.9%28
Sep-2.0%28.6%28
Oct-0.4%42.9%28
Nov4.1%64.3%28
Dec0.1%42.9%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 33.9% 1356
Tuesday -0.01% 31.8% 1482
Wednesday -0.02% 34.1% 1482
Thursday -0.01% 32.4% 1452
Friday 0.17% 34.5% 1445

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 54.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings31
Net Value-$26.65
Net Shares Change14,291
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
De Soto Matthew G +$139,877.644 3 4 buy
Noone John E +$61,672.6 1 1 buy
Evans Albert J. +$9,999.08 1 1 buy
MOWERY THEODORE W +$4,014.64 2 2 buy
Frank Joel L. +$2,508.48 1 1 buy
Brumbaugh Kimberly J +$2,508.48 1 1 buy
Abel Robert A +$522.6 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-01 – 2025-10-01 6 6 +$25,575.52
2026-01-02 – 2026-01-02 6 6 +$25,436.4
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-10 3 3 +$87,290.25 1 C-suite
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-01 6 6 +$27,496.8
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-02 6 6 +$27,558.44

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-13 De Soto Matthew G +$79,930.849 Transaction at $30.86, now +20.7%
2026-07-02 MOWERY THEODORE W +$2,020.72 Transaction at $34.84, now +6.9%
2026-07-02 Frank Joel L. +$2,508.48 Transaction at $34.84, now +6.9%
2026-07-02 Evans Albert J. +$9,999.08 Transaction at $34.84, now +6.9%
2026-07-02 De Soto Matthew G +$9,999.08 Transaction at $34.84, now +6.9%
2026-07-02 Brumbaugh Kimberly J +$2,508.48 Transaction at $34.84, now +6.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPB on Trend Edge →