Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates MNSB Bullish with a Setup Score of 72, net conviction 57, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
72
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
57
Actionability
90 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 22.67 vs px 24.79)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 20.88 vs px 24.79)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 21.01 vs px 24.79)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +3.51 · 0.89→1.10
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.39 · age 21w×1.00 · 3.73%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Hidden Gem — stWatch 33.00
About Mainstreet Bank
MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MainStreet Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional service organizations. It offers demand, NOW, money market, savings, and sweep accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; business and consumer checking, interest-bearing checking, business account analysis, and other depository services; and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Banks-Regional
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: January 4, 2016
Headquarters: 10089 Fairfax Boulevard, Fairfax, VA, United States, 22030
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Jeff W. Dick (Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board), Tom Chmelik (Senior EVP, Corporate Secretary & Director)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$24.90
Market Cap
$180M
Float
5.2M
Shares Outstanding
7.1M
P/E (Forward)
12.39
P/E (TTM)
12.44
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.49
vs. Analyst Target
+10.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
24.01%
Operating Margin (TTM)
35.21%
Revenue (TTM)
$72.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.40%
Dividend Rate
0.4%
Analyst Target Price
$27.50 (1 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$69.5M
$15.7M
$49.8M
$21.7M
2021
$70.3M
$22.2M
$60.8M
$30.3M
2022
$88.7M
$26.7M
$72.9M
$36.0M
2023
$128M
$26.6M
$78.4M
$35.6M
2024
$138M
-$10.0M
$59.1M
-$9.3M
2025
$136M
$15.6M
$73.9M
$24.0M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$33.4M
$4.5M
Dec 2025
$32.8M
$4.1M
Mar 2026
$31.6M
$4.1M
Jun 2026
$33.0M
$4.7M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
16.3%
Institutional Ownership
58.0%
Short Float
3.5%
% of All Funds Holding
1.10%
Number of Funds Holding
97
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$24.32
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$22.68
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$20.88
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$21.01
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$22.46
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$20.68
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$20.03
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$22.90
support
1.24x
1 months ago
$16.80
support
1.66x
15 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (58 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.35%
0.00%
44.83%
5.33%
-3.72%
1 Day
0.48%
0.00%
44.83%
6.91%
-5.54%
1 Week
0.78%
0.44%
56.90%
18.85%
-10.26%
2 Weeks
1.52%
1.34%
56.90%
18.85%
-17.24%
1 Month
1.96%
0.94%
59.65%
24.47%
-17.69%
Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (60 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.4%
66.7%
21
Feb
2.5%
61.9%
21
Mar
0.2%
52.4%
21
Apr
0.6%
47.6%
21
May
-0.1%
38.1%
21
Jun
-1.7%
33.3%
21
Jul
1.0%
66.7%
21
Aug
-0.7%
25.0%
20
Sep
-0.1%
40.0%
20
Oct
-0.0%
42.9%
21
Nov
3.7%
61.9%
21
Dec
0.1%
52.4%
21
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.05%
29.4%
989
Tuesday
-0.01%
29.5%
1082
Wednesday
-0.03%
29.4%
1083
Thursday
0.06%
30.2%
1062
Friday
0.16%
30.4%
1057
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 58.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 16.3%
Founder-led management: Jeff W. Dick (Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board), Tom Chmelik (Senior EVP, Corporate Secretary & Director)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mainstreet Bank
(MNSB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.