MFG — Mizuho Financial Group Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MFG Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 47, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction47
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Mizuho Financial Group Inc.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in banking, trust banking, securities, and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. The company offers finance solutions, including corporate, syndicated, acquisition, real estate, project, ECA, and other structured finance solutions; financing and advisory solutions for capital markets comprising debt, lo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.48
Market Cap$125.84B
Float12.19B
Shares Outstanding12.18B
P/E (Forward)15.70
P/E (TTM)16.40
Price/Sales (TTM)0.03
vs. Analyst Target-0.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.87%
Revenue (TTM)$4.40T
Earnings Growth (YoY)679.90%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$10.48 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $2.89T $471.02B $2.26T $819.14B
2022 $2.84T $530.48B $2.28T $769.51B
2023 $4.89T $555.53B $2.58T $945.90B
2024 $7.86T $678.99B $2.86T $1.13T
2025 $8.60T $885.43B $3.59T $1.40T
2026 $9.49T $1.32T $4.64T $1.98T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.01T $290.52B
Sep 2025 $2.15T $399.43B
Dec 2025 $2.23T $329.94B
Mar 2026 $2.27T $232.94B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership2.1%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.78%
Number of Funds Holding393

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.41Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.00 support 1.13x 0 months ago
$8.00 support 1.13x 2 months ago
$7.50 support 1.17x 5 months ago
$5.00 support 1.67x 13 months ago
$3.90 support 1.04x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.30% -0.39% 35.90% 8.38% -8.48%
1 Day -0.20% -0.62% 39.74% 7.30% -10.65%
1 Week -0.51% -0.63% 47.44% 15.36% -19.05%
2 Weeks -0.05% -0.82% 46.15% 31.11% -19.14%
1 Month -0.05% -1.04% 44.87% 27.14% -31.05%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%70.0%20
Feb-0.5%50.0%20
Mar-4.2%20.0%20
Apr1.9%45.0%20
May1.7%55.0%20
Jun0.2%45.0%20
Jul2.8%73.7%19
Aug-2.1%31.6%19
Sep-2.4%47.4%19
Oct-2.4%47.4%19
Nov1.8%47.4%19
Dec1.9%45.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 44.7% 927
Tuesday -0.01% 43.6% 1015
Wednesday 0.07% 44.8% 1014
Thursday 0.00% 44.5% 995
Friday 0.01% 48.3% 990

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change39,389
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Yonezawa Takefumi Head of Research & Consulting Unit / Group Chief Sustainability Officer (Group CSuO) / In Charge of Specially Assigned Matters +N/A 1 1 sell
Yagi Minako Group Chief Audit Executive (Group CAE) +N/A 1 1 sell
Tsujimori Hideki Group Chief Process Officer (Group CPrO) +N/A 1 1 sell
Sugawara Masayuki Head of Domestic Wholesale Business / Head of Corporate & Investment Banking Company +N/A 1 1 sell
Matsuura Shuji Head of Global Corporate & Investment Banking Company +N/A 1 1 sell
Kihara Masahiro President & Group CEO +N/A 1 1 sell
Kaminoyama Nobuhiro Group Chief Digital Transformation Officer (Group CDTO) / In Charge of Specially Assigned Matters +N/A 1 1 sell
Inomata Naoshi Head of Domestic Retail Business / Co-Head of Retail & Business Banking Company +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-06 – 2026-07-06 13 13 +N/A 11 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Yonezawa Takefumi Head of Research & Consulting Unit / Group Chief Sustainability Officer (Group CSuO) / In Charge of Specially Assigned Matters +N/A N/A
2026-07-06 Yagi Minako Group Chief Audit Executive (Group CAE) +N/A N/A
2026-07-06 Tsujimori Hideki Group Chief Process Officer (Group CPrO) +N/A N/A
2026-07-06 Sugawara Masayuki Head of Domestic Wholesale Business / Head of Corporate & Investment Banking Company +N/A N/A
2026-07-06 Matsuura Shuji Head of Global Corporate & Investment Banking Company +N/A N/A
2026-07-06 Kihara Masahiro President & Group CEO +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mizuho Financial Group Inc. (MFG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MFG on Trend Edge →