MBWM — Mercantile Bank Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Mercantile Bank Corporation

Mercantile Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Mercantile Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to small- to medium-sized businesses and individuals in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking, savings, and term certificate accounts; time deposits; and certificates of deposit. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$52.20
Market Cap$908M
Float16.8M
Shares Outstanding17.3M
P/E (Forward)10.87
P/E (TTM)9.42
Price/Sales (TTM)3.60
vs. Analyst Target+13.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin36.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.00%
Revenue (TTM)$253M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.10%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$59.33 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $193M $44.1M $153M $64.3M
2021 $199M $59.0M $184M $87.4M
2022 $214M $61.1M $184M $88.7M
2023 $304M $82.2M $218M $114M
2024 $362M $79.6M $224M $109M
2025 $372M $88.8M $238M $107M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $93.4M $22.6M
Sep 2025 $96.0M $23.8M
Dec 2025 $93.3M $22.8M
Mar 2026 $96.5M $22.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.1%
Institutional Ownership69.2%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.28%
Number of Funds Holding187

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$51.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$49.12Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$47.43Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$40.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$48.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$47.31Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$49.00 support 1.40x 3 months ago
$41.00 support 1.27x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (107 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.22% 56.07% 3.97% -6.13%
1 Day 0.46% 0.16% 52.34% 27.78% -11.00%
1 Week 1.50% -0.25% 46.73% 97.02% -18.00%
2 Weeks 1.02% -0.51% 47.66% 75.40% -22.40%
1 Month 1.54% -0.42% 49.06% 79.76% -32.40%

Next earnings: July 21, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%51.9%27
Feb-0.4%48.1%27
Mar-0.8%48.1%27
Apr1.6%51.9%27
May-1.0%46.2%26
Jun1.0%53.8%26
Jul4.2%61.5%26
Aug0.0%44.4%27
Sep-2.4%40.7%27
Oct2.2%63.0%27
Nov3.8%63.0%27
Dec0.6%48.1%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 48.8% 1267
Tuesday 0.20% 49.0% 1384
Wednesday -0.00% 46.9% 1385
Thursday 0.03% 47.6% 1358
Friday 0.07% 48.7% 1354

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 69.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-1,877
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PRICE MICHAEL H -$209,798.695 1 1 sell
RAMAKER DAVID B +$70,065 1 1 buy
Sanchez Nelson F +$43,500 1 1 buy
Williams Shoran R +$9,457 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-04 Sanchez Nelson F +$43,500 Transaction at $43.50, now +20.0%
2025-08-19 RAMAKER DAVID B +$70,065 Transaction at $46.71, now +11.8%
2025-07-30 Williams Shoran R +$9,457 Transaction at $47.28, now +10.4%
2025-11-17 PRICE MICHAEL H -$209,798.695 Transaction at $45.84, now +13.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MBWM on Trend Edge →