LKFN — Lakeland Financial Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LKFN Bearish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 41, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lakeland Financial Corporation

Lakeland Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Lake City Bank that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, such as noninterest bearing, interest-bearing checking, savings, money market, NOW, and demand deposits. It also offers loan products, including commercial and industrial, commercial real estate and multi-family residential, construction, agri… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$59.57
Market Cap$1.50B
Float24.0M
Shares Outstanding24.9M
P/E (Forward)20.08
P/E (TTM)13.77
Price/Sales (TTM)5.49
vs. Analyst Target+11.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin40.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)51.46%
Revenue (TTM)$274M
Earnings Growth (YoY)8.70%
Dividend Rate2.1%
Analyst Target Price$66.50 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $228M $84.3M $183M $111M
2021 $238M $95.7M $222M $126M
2022 $281M $104M $235M $132M
2023 $343M $93.8M $343M $110M
2024 $430M $93.5M $237M $118M
2025 $422M $103M $257M $130M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $108M $26.4M
Dec 2025 $107M $29.9M
Mar 2026 $105M $26.5M
Jun 2026 $108M $28.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.8%
Institutional Ownership88.2%
Short Float9.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$61.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$59.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$60.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$61.84Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$59.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$60.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$60.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$73.00 resistance 1.02x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.19% 0.02% 50.00% 4.70% -3.91%
1 Day 0.17% 0.00% 49.11% 6.19% -8.40%
1 Week -0.03% 0.07% 50.89% 15.34% -14.08%
2 Weeks 0.80% 0.28% 51.79% 22.76% -17.79%
1 Month 0.60% -0.15% 47.75% 23.81% -20.36%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%44.8%29
Feb-1.1%37.9%29
Mar0.3%58.6%29
Apr-0.7%44.8%29
May1.0%62.1%29
Jun1.1%55.2%29
Jul3.3%69.0%29
Aug-0.1%50.0%28
Sep-0.9%44.8%29
Oct2.6%55.2%29
Nov1.7%55.2%29
Dec2.2%62.1%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 47.7% 1372
Tuesday 0.12% 49.3% 1499
Wednesday -0.02% 45.2% 1499
Thursday 0.04% 49.9% 1468
Friday 0.10% 47.0% 1462

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change15,082
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WELCH M SCOTT +$1.4M 3 3 buy
Toothaker Bradley J -$357,653.87 1 1 sell
Ottinger Eric H Executive Vice President -$131,342.64 1 1 sell
Robinson-Gay Donald Senior Vice President -$31,500 1 1 sell
BARTELS ROBERT E JR +$20,059.121 1 1 buy
Clark Kyra E Senior Vice President -$15,805 1 1 sell
Lahrman Brok A SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$11,752.2 1 1 sell
Leniski Stephanie R Executive Vice President -$9,647.315 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-04 4 4 -$662,871.835 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 Robinson-Gay Donald Senior Vice President -$31,500 Transaction at $63.00, now -5.4%
2026-07-31 Clark Kyra E Senior Vice President -$15,805 Transaction at $63.22, now -5.8%
2026-06-01 Toothaker Bradley J -$357,653.87 Transaction at $60.62, now -1.7%
2026-03-09 WELCH M SCOTT +$277,250 Transaction at $55.45, now +7.4%
2026-02-27 WELCH M SCOTT +$579,500 Transaction at $57.95, now +2.8%
2026-03-12 WELCH M SCOTT +$562,314 Transaction at $56.23, now +5.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LKFN on Trend Edge →