80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 19.67 vs px 22.89)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +8.23 · 0.85→1.08
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Hidden Gem — stWatch 11.00
About John Marshall Bancorp Inc
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for John Marshall Bank that provides banking products and financial services in Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, Prince William, Montgomery, District of Columbia. The company offers checking, NOW, money market accounts, and savings accounts; certificates of deposit; and time, reciprocal IntraFi Demand, IntraFi Money Market, and IntraFi CD deposits. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Banks-Regional
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: November 21, 2013
Headquarters: 1943 Isaac Newton Square, Reston, VA, United States, 20190
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Christopher W. Bergstrom (President & Chief Executive Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$22.89
Market Cap
$325M
Float
12.3M
Shares Outstanding
14.1M
P/E (TTM)
13.31
Price/Sales (TTM)
4.86
Profit Margin
36.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)
48.76%
Revenue (TTM)
$66.9M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.10%
Dividend Rate
0.3%
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$74.1M
$18.5M
$52.2M
$25.7M
2021
$75.8M
$25.5M
$64.5M
$34.5M
2022
$85.8M
$31.8M
$71.9M
$42.0M
2023
$85.8M
$5.2M
$38.8M
$9.7M
2024
$112M
$17.1M
$53.7M
$23.6M
2025
$115M
$21.2M
$61.0M
$28.9M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$29.6M
$5.4M
Dec 2025
$29.6M
$5.9M
Mar 2026
$29.1M
$6.1M
Jun 2026
$15.9M
$7.0M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
12.9%
Institutional Ownership
50.2%
Short Float
1.3%
% of All Funds Holding
1.08%
Number of Funds Holding
95
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$22.64
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$21.02
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$19.67
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$20.22
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$21.03
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$19.73
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$19.48
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$19.20
support
1.72x
4 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.21%
0.00%
41.03%
13.53%
-4.60%
1 Day
0.01%
0.00%
38.46%
5.88%
-4.41%
1 Week
0.36%
0.38%
56.41%
10.32%
-10.53%
2 Weeks
0.98%
0.83%
64.10%
11.96%
-20.13%
1 Month
3.66%
3.31%
60.53%
25.30%
-11.12%
Next earnings: October 28, 2026 (62 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.7%
66.7%
9
Feb
-2.1%
44.4%
9
Mar
-5.5%
44.4%
9
Apr
0.4%
60.0%
10
May
3.2%
80.0%
10
Jun
-2.0%
40.0%
10
Jul
3.9%
50.0%
10
Aug
0.6%
55.6%
9
Sep
0.7%
55.6%
9
Oct
4.7%
55.6%
9
Nov
1.5%
55.6%
9
Dec
0.5%
44.4%
9
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.07%
40.2%
448
Tuesday
0.01%
40.8%
490
Wednesday
0.10%
41.7%
487
Thursday
0.16%
43.2%
479
Friday
-0.01%
40.6%
478
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 50.2%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 12.9%
Founder-led management: Christopher W. Bergstrom (President & Chief Executive Officer)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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