IBCP — Independent Bank Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates IBCP Bullish with a Setup Score of 77, net conviction 42, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score77
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction42
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Independent Bank Corporation

Independent Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Independent Bank that provides banking services in the United States. The company offers demand deposits, interest checking, money market accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates of deposit, including free checking accounts. It also provides consumer loans that consists of real estate loans comprising residential mortgages and home equity loans and lines, all secured b… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$36.64
Market Cap$768M
Float21.6M
Shares Outstanding20.6M
P/E (Forward)12.05
P/E (TTM)10.71
Price/Sales (TTM)3.33
vs. Analyst Target+10.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)39.93%
Revenue (TTM)$231M
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.10%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$40.40 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $214M $56.2M $185M $78.6M
2021 $207M $62.9M $200M $89.4M
2022 $224M $63.4M $199M $88.6M
2023 $284M $59.1M $194M $83.7M
2024 $316M $66.8M $212M $93.1M
2025 $315M $68.5M $220M $91.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $79.4M $17.5M
Dec 2025 $79.4M $18.6M
Mar 2026 $74.6M $16.9M
Jun 2026 $82.6M $18.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.8%
Institutional Ownership83.2%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.09%
Number of Funds Holding184

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$37.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$34.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$33.19Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.63Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$36.10 support 1.39x 0 months ago
$38.70 resistance 1.00x 0 months ago
$34.20 support 1.23x 1 months ago
$32.50 support 1.12x 6 months ago
$30.50 support 1.14x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (127 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.00% 46.46% 17.52% -17.37%
1 Day -0.11% 0.09% 51.18% 38.05% -23.62%
1 Week 1.04% 0.62% 51.97% 64.53% -25.71%
2 Weeks 0.91% 0.23% 51.18% 41.14% -44.09%
1 Month 0.51% 1.59% 60.32% 57.51% -41.73%

Next earnings: October 27, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%56.1%41
Feb-1.7%34.1%41
Mar3.7%58.5%41
Apr1.9%51.2%41
May-0.8%51.2%41
Jun-3.3%39.0%41
Jul4.3%61.0%41
Aug0.7%50.0%40
Sep-1.2%50.0%40
Oct0.5%51.2%41
Nov0.8%65.9%41
Dec2.3%43.9%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 40.7% 1949
Tuesday 0.10% 41.2% 2118
Wednesday 0.09% 40.2% 2114
Thursday 0.11% 41.3% 2076
Friday 0.08% 42.5% 2063

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$331,238.009
Net Shares Change-7,875
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ervin Patrick J Executive Vice President -$192,426.85 2 2 sell
Kimball Stefanie M Executive Vice President -$93,883.02 2 2 sell
Kruse Ronia F +$42,324 1 1 buy
TWAROZYNSKI JAMES J Senior Vice President -$33,795.139 2 2 sell
Archer Dennis W. Jr +$15,787.4 1 1 buy
Kreter Kristopher First Vice Pres. & Controller -$11,133 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Kreter Kristopher First Vice Pres. & Controller -$11,133 Transaction at $37.11, now -1.3%
2026-08-10 TWAROZYNSKI JAMES J Senior Vice President -$18,419.945 Transaction at $37.67, now -2.7%
2026-06-09 Ervin Patrick J Executive Vice President -$88,504.75 Transaction at $35.40, now +3.5%
2026-05-29 Kimball Stefanie M Executive Vice President -$48,181 Transaction at $34.41, now +6.5%
2026-02-27 Kruse Ronia F +$42,324 Transaction at $35.27, now +3.9%
2025-11-24 Archer Dennis W. Jr +$15,787.4 Transaction at $31.57, now +16.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IBCP on Trend Edge →