IBCP — Independent Bank Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Independent Bank Corporation

Independent Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Independent Bank that provides banking services in the United States. The company offers demand deposits, interest checking, money market accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates of deposit, including free checking accounts. It also provides consumer loans that consists of real estate loans comprising residential mortgages and home equity loans and lines, all secured b… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$34.14
Market Cap$701M
Float20.1M
Shares Outstanding20.6M
P/E (Forward)12.05
P/E (TTM)10.19
Price/Sales (TTM)3.12
vs. Analyst Target+7.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)39.00%
Revenue (TTM)$225M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.50%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$36.70 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $214M $56.2M $185M $78.6M
2021 $207M $62.9M $200M $89.4M
2022 $224M $63.4M $199M $88.6M
2023 $284M $59.1M $194M $83.7M
2024 $316M $66.8M $212M $93.1M
2025 $315M $68.5M $220M $81.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $76.3M $16.9M
Sep 2025 $79.4M $17.5M
Dec 2025 $79.4M $18.6M
Mar 2026 $74.6M $16.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.1%
Institutional Ownership87.9%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.92%
Number of Funds Holding158

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$33.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$32.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.50 support 1.12x 3 months ago
$30.50 support 1.14x 5 months ago
$27.00 support 1.56x 21 months ago
$25.20 support 1.41x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (126 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.00% 46.03% 17.52% -17.37%
1 Day -0.13% 0.07% 50.79% 38.05% -23.62%
1 Week 1.02% 0.55% 51.59% 64.53% -25.71%
2 Weeks 0.89% 0.23% 50.79% 41.14% -44.09%
1 Month 0.49% 1.58% 60.00% 57.51% -41.73%

Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (43 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%56.1%41
Feb-1.7%34.1%41
Mar3.7%58.5%41
Apr1.9%51.2%41
May-0.9%50.0%40
Jun-3.5%37.5%40
Jul4.2%60.0%40
Aug0.7%50.0%40
Sep-1.2%50.0%40
Oct0.5%51.2%41
Nov0.8%65.9%41
Dec2.3%43.9%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 40.8% 1936
Tuesday 0.10% 41.0% 2106
Wednesday 0.09% 40.2% 2101
Thursday 0.11% 41.1% 2063
Friday 0.08% 42.3% 2052

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$105,719.313
Net Shares Change635
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ervin Patrick J Executive Vice President -$103,922.1 1 1 sell
Mohr Gavin A. Executive Vice President +$59,280 1 1 buy
Beia Terance L +$55,813.65 1 1 buy
Kimball Stefanie M Executive Vice President -$45,702.02 1 1 sell
Kruse Ronia F +$42,324 1 1 buy
Archer Dennis W. Jr +$15,787.4 1 1 buy
TWAROZYNSKI JAMES J Senior Vice President -$15,375.193 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-27 Kruse Ronia F +$42,324 Transaction at $35.27, now -3.2%
2025-08-06 Mohr Gavin A. Executive Vice President +$59,280 Transaction at $29.64, now +15.2%
2025-12-16 Ervin Patrick J Executive Vice President -$103,922.1 Transaction at $34.64, now -1.4%
2025-06-25 Beia Terance L +$55,813.65 Transaction at $30.65, now +11.4%
2025-11-24 Archer Dennis W. Jr +$15,787.4 Transaction at $31.57, now +8.1%
2025-11-21 TWAROZYNSKI JAMES J Senior Vice President -$15,375.193 Transaction at $31.64, now +7.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IBCP on Trend Edge →