HWBK — Hawthorn Bancshares Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Hawthorn Bancshares Inc

Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Hawthorn Bank that provides various banking products and services to families and businesses. It offers checking and savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also provides commercial and industrial, single payment personal, mortgage, installment, and commercial and residential real estate loans. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$36.94
Market Cap$242M
Float6.2M
Shares Outstanding6.9M
P/E (Forward)17.76
P/E (TTM)10.06
Price/Sales (TTM)2.99
Profit Margin29.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)35.42%
Revenue (TTM)$81.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)7.80%
Dividend Rate0.8%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $78.0M $14.3M $62.5M $19.7M
2021 $81.4M $22.5M $77.2M $30.5M
2022 $83.2M $20.8M $73.6M $27.2M
2023 $88.0M $956,000 $52.8M $2.5M
2024 $110M $18.3M $71.9M $24.0M
2025 $112M $23.8M $79.9M $31.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $27.5M $6.1M
Sep 2025 $28.8M $6.1M
Dec 2025 $28.9M $6.2M
Mar 2026 $28.7M $6.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.0%
Institutional Ownership31.3%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.71%
Number of Funds Holding58

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$34.94Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.62Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$28.10 support 1.13x 17 months ago
$25.30 support 1.46x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (103 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.00% 36.89% 5.55% -5.55%
1 Day -0.14% 0.00% 41.75% 4.79% -8.93%
1 Week 0.01% -0.07% 49.51% 19.09% -13.71%
2 Weeks 0.42% 0.00% 49.51% 37.97% -17.72%
1 Month 0.88% 0.16% 50.98% 34.62% -19.30%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%63.0%27
Feb0.6%51.9%27
Mar0.8%48.1%27
Apr-0.1%59.3%27
May1.1%42.3%26
Jun0.2%50.0%26
Jul-0.4%50.0%26
Aug0.4%51.9%27
Sep0.8%48.1%27
Oct1.0%59.3%27
Nov2.5%63.0%27
Dec-0.5%51.9%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 40.6% 1267
Tuesday -0.00% 36.5% 1386
Wednesday 0.00% 37.7% 1386
Thursday 0.11% 36.4% 1359
Friday 0.05% 39.6% 1355

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 31.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hawthorn Bancshares Inc (HWBK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HWBK on Trend Edge →