Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Home BancShares Inc
Home BancShares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Centennial Bank that provides commercial and retail banking, and related financial services to businesses, real estate developers and investors, individuals, and municipalities in the United States. The company offers deposit services, including checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Banks-Regional
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: June 23, 2006
Headquarters: 719 Harkrider Street, Conway, AR, United States, 72032
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — John W. Allison (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$26.68
Market Cap
$5.36B
Float
188.4M
Shares Outstanding
201.4M
P/E (Forward)
10.64
P/E (TTM)
10.95
Price/Sales (TTM)
4.99
vs. Analyst Target
+16.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
44.52%
Operating Margin (TTM)
57.33%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.50%
Dividend Rate
0.8%
Analyst Target Price
$31.14 (8 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$778M
$214M
$555M
$298M
2021
$752M
$319M
$705M
$436M
2022
$1.04B
$305M
$855M
$426M
2023
$1.33B
$393M
$968M
$543M
2024
$1.45B
$402M
$953M
$552M
2025
$1.37B
$475M
$1.06B
$618M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$366M
$118M
Sep 2025
$280M
$124M
Dec 2025
$374M
$118M
Mar 2026
$354M
$118M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
6.3%
Institutional Ownership
75.2%
Short Float
2.3%
% of All Funds Holding
4.12%
Number of Funds Holding
339
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$26.74
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$27.86
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$28.33
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$25.64
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$27.74
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$28.29
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$25.98
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$28.80
resistance
1.08x
2 months ago
$30.00
resistance
1.16x
13 months ago
$24.00
support
1.33x
21 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.20%
0.14%
58.75%
7.23%
-4.03%
1 Day
0.42%
0.40%
57.50%
10.21%
-8.22%
1 Week
1.00%
0.95%
58.75%
11.49%
-13.37%
2 Weeks
1.39%
2.26%
62.50%
23.83%
-13.83%
1 Month
1.70%
0.49%
53.75%
31.36%
-13.34%
Next earnings: July 15, 2026 (48 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-1.1%
55.0%
20
Feb
-0.1%
45.0%
20
Mar
0.1%
55.0%
20
Apr
3.4%
60.0%
20
May
-1.7%
31.6%
19
Jun
2.0%
57.9%
19
Jul
3.1%
60.0%
20
Aug
-1.1%
30.0%
20
Sep
0.8%
45.0%
20
Oct
1.5%
60.0%
20
Nov
4.4%
80.0%
20
Dec
0.8%
65.0%
20
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.03%
49.6%
940
Tuesday
0.11%
50.0%
1029
Wednesday
0.07%
49.5%
1028
Thursday
-0.01%
49.2%
1008
Friday
0.10%
50.0%
1005
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 75.2%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 6.3%
Founder-led management: John W. Allison (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Home BancShares Inc
(HOMB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.