HFWA — Heritage Financial Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Heritage Financial Corporation

Heritage Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank that provides various financial services to small and medium sized businesses and its owners in the United States. It accepts various deposit products, such as noninterest demand deposits, interest bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, personal checking accounts, and certificates of deposit. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$27.34
Market Cap$1.12B
Float40.6M
Shares Outstanding41.2M
P/E (Forward)12.33
P/E (TTM)13.30
Price/Sales (TTM)4.21
vs. Analyst Target+11.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin27.33%
Operating Margin (TTM)32.29%
Revenue (TTM)$266M
Earnings Growth (YoY)20.00%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$30.60 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $252M $46.6M $202M $53.1M
2021 $247M $98.0M $270M $102M
2022 $257M $81.9M $250M $103M
2023 $303M $61.8M $240M $78.5M
2024 $317M $43.3M $211M $55.5M
2025 $336M $67.5M $243M $79.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $80.0M $12.2M
Sep 2025 $87.8M $19.2M
Dec 2025 $86.8M $22.2M
Mar 2026 $99.4M $18.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership80.8%
Short Float6.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.07%
Number of Funds Holding170

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.82Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.67Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.80 support 1.30x 3 months ago
$18.00 support 1.05x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (111 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.07% 0.00% 47.75% 6.51% -3.84%
1 Day -0.13% -0.08% 40.54% 7.56% -7.30%
1 Week 0.07% 0.70% 58.56% 15.13% -17.41%
2 Weeks 0.34% 0.74% 56.76% 17.44% -21.35%
1 Month 0.95% 0.86% 55.45% 25.83% -21.10%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%42.9%28
Feb0.2%46.4%28
Mar-0.7%50.0%28
Apr-1.8%35.7%28
May-0.2%51.9%27
Jun1.1%57.1%28
Jul1.6%50.0%28
Aug-1.4%46.4%28
Sep0.7%53.6%28
Oct1.7%46.4%28
Nov3.2%64.3%28
Dec0.7%64.3%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.7% 1324
Tuesday 0.05% 47.2% 1449
Wednesday -0.00% 45.4% 1448
Thursday 0.05% 46.4% 1420
Friday 0.08% 47.6% 1414

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$96,947.52
Net Shares Change5,298
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McDonald Bryan President +$426,445.92 1 1 buy
Robison Sabrina C EVP Chief HR Officer -$150,126.552 1 2 sell
Chalfant Tony EVP Chief Credit Officer -$129,064.598 1 1 sell
Wilson Kelli Ann EVP Chief Banking Officer -$50,307.25 1 1 sell
Rivera Frederick B -$47,349.54 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 Robison Sabrina C EVP Chief HR Officer -$150,126.552 Transaction at $27.56, now -0.8%
2025-11-24 McDonald Bryan President +$426,445.92 Transaction at $22.32, now +22.5%
2026-02-11 Chalfant Tony EVP Chief Credit Officer -$129,064.598 Transaction at $27.65, now -1.1%
2026-01-26 Wilson Kelli Ann EVP Chief Banking Officer -$50,307.25 Transaction at $26.48, now +3.3%
2026-02-03 Rivera Frederick B -$47,349.54 Transaction at $26.31, now +3.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Heritage Financial Corporation (HFWA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HFWA on Trend Edge →