HFBL — Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HFBL Bullish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 38, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score29
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana

Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana operates as the holding company for Home Federal Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, corporate entities, and other organizations in Louisiana. The company accepts various deposits, including savings, certificates of deposit, and demand deposit accounts; and offers debit cards. The company also provides loans, including one-to-four family residential real estate, commercial real est… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$24.16
Market Cap$73.2M
Float2.0M
Shares Outstanding3.0M
P/E (Forward)11.79
P/E (TTM)11.96
Price/Sales (TTM)3.07
Profit Margin25.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)34.99%
Revenue (TTM)$23.9M
Earnings Growth (YoY)23.80%
Dividend Rate0.6%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $25.3M $5.4M $20.2M $7.5M
2022 $22.5M $4.9M $20.3M $6.8M
2023 $28.5M $5.7M $22.6M $7.6M
2024 $33.3M $3.6M $20.4M $5.3M
2025 $32.3M $3.9M $20.7M $6.0M
2026 $35.0M $6.2M $23.7M $7.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $8.6M $1.6M
Dec 2025 $8.4M $1.7M
Mar 2026 $8.0M $1.5M
Jun 2026 $9.0M $1.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership43.6%
Institutional Ownership7.3%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.18%
Number of Funds Holding16

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.00 support 1.81x 2 months ago
$16.00 support 1.43x 9 months ago
$13.80 support 1.29x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (77 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.00% 35.06% 18.95% -4.73%
1 Day 0.29% 0.00% 32.47% 18.95% -5.38%
1 Week 1.74% 1.21% 57.14% 15.94% -13.51%
2 Weeks 2.49% 1.43% 67.53% 15.38% -11.47%
1 Month 1.44% 1.22% 64.94% 36.75% -27.08%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%63.2%19
Feb0.4%57.9%19
Mar-2.6%47.4%19
Apr1.0%63.2%19
May0.8%57.9%19
Jun0.6%57.9%19
Jul3.0%65.0%20
Aug1.3%50.0%20
Sep-0.2%40.0%20
Oct-0.4%47.4%19
Nov2.7%52.6%19
Dec2.9%73.7%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 26.2% 912
Tuesday 0.01% 23.2% 997
Wednesday 0.07% 23.9% 995
Thursday -0.04% 22.7% 977
Friday 0.28% 28.1% 972

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 7.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 43.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$156,369.44
Net Shares Change-196
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BARLOW JAMES R Chairman, President & CEO*** -$175,298.44 3 3 sell
JONES MARY L Sr. VP Retail & COO* +$18,929 1 1 sell
TRAWICK THOMAS STEEN JR -$11.8 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-17 – 2025-10-17 3 3 -$35,082.8 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 BARLOW JAMES R Chairman, President & CEO*** -$57,109 Transaction at $23.00, now +5.0%
2025-10-17 JONES MARY L Sr. VP Retail & COO* +$18,929 Transaction at $12.85, now +88.0%
2025-11-19 BARLOW JAMES R Chairman, President & CEO*** -$64,189.44 Transaction at $15.36, now +57.3%
2025-10-17 TRAWICK THOMAS STEEN JR -$11.8 Transaction at $12.85, now +88.0%
2025-10-17 BARLOW JAMES R Chairman, President & CEO*** -$54,000 Transaction at $12.85, now +88.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana (HFBL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HFBL on Trend Edge →