HBNC — Horizon Bancorp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Horizon Bancorp

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals and corporate clients in Indiana and Michigan in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, money market, certificates of deposit, and time deposit accounts, as well as non-interest and interest-bearing demand deposits. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.75
Market Cap$945M
Float50.2M
Shares Outstanding51.3M
P/E (Forward)11.05
Price/Sales (TTM)3.76
vs. Analyst Target+13.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)46.58%
Revenue (TTM)-$23.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-5.60%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$21.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $254M $68.5M $199M $90.7M
2021 $247M $87.1M $230M $116M
2022 $278M $93.4M $243M $119M
2023 $220M $28.0M $324M $39.0M
2024 $355M $35.4M $182M $39.7M
2025 $103M -$150M -$30.4M -$188M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $101M $20.6M
Sep 2025 -$204M -$222M
Dec 2025 $101M $26.9M
Mar 2026 $97.9M $26.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership80.5%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.23%
Number of Funds Holding183

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.69Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.05Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.30 support 2.39x 8 months ago
$12.40 support 1.34x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.00% 43.62% 3.66% -4.19%
1 Day 0.40% 0.00% 48.94% 9.80% -4.73%
1 Week 0.61% 0.33% 55.32% 30.35% -19.86%
2 Weeks 0.73% 0.03% 50.00% 47.67% -24.54%
1 Month 1.19% 0.00% 48.94% 48.06% -25.08%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%62.5%24
Feb-1.4%36.0%25
Mar-3.3%36.0%25
Apr2.2%44.0%25
May1.2%58.3%24
Jun-0.1%58.3%24
Jul4.5%66.7%24
Aug0.8%50.0%24
Sep0.8%54.2%24
Oct0.6%50.0%24
Nov3.2%66.7%24
Dec3.3%70.8%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 44.9% 1149
Tuesday 0.05% 43.7% 1260
Wednesday 0.01% 43.0% 1258
Thursday 0.03% 43.4% 1234
Friday 0.13% 45.2% 1230

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$39,991
Net Shares Change18,408
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ahern Kevin +$99,992 1 1 buy
MAGNESEN LARRY S +$65,640 1 1 buy
Stewart John R EVP - Chief Financial Officer +$24,998 1 1 buy
Samuels Michele Annette +$24,998 1 1 buy
Blackhurst Eric P. +$24,998 1 1 buy
WALKER BRIAN C +$23,978.16 1 1 buy
Prame Thomas M Chief Executive Officer +$14,993 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-25 – 2025-08-25 5 5 +$189,979 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-29 WALKER BRIAN C +$23,978.16 Transaction at $18.36, now +2.1%
2025-08-25 Stewart John R EVP - Chief Financial Officer +$24,998 Transaction at $14.50, now +29.3%
2025-08-25 Prame Thomas M Chief Executive Officer +$14,993 Transaction at $14.50, now +29.3%
2025-11-25 MAGNESEN LARRY S +$65,640 Transaction at $16.41, now +14.3%
2025-08-25 Samuels Michele Annette +$24,998 Transaction at $14.50, now +29.3%
2025-08-25 Ahern Kevin +$99,992 Transaction at $14.50, now +29.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Horizon Bancorp (HBNC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HBNC on Trend Edge →