GPMT — Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GPMT Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 54, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction54
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc., a real estate investment trust, originates, invests in, and manages senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans and other debt and debt-like commercial real estate investments in the United States. The company offers intermediate-term bridge or transitional financing for various purposes, including acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing, as well as a range of business plans, such as lease-up, renova… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.06
Market Cap$53.7M
Float45.2M
Shares Outstanding47.9M
P/E (Forward)47.62
Price/Sales (TTM)5.92
vs. Analyst Target+29.7% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)123.79%
Revenue (TTM)-$29.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-95.80%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$1.38 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $105M -$40.4M $75.9M -$33.4M
2021 $87.5M $68.4M $57.4M $85.1M
2022 $78.3M -$40.8M $78.3M $70.8M
2023 -$22.7M -$63.2M -$28.0M $3.5M
2024 -$166M -$207M -$171M $6.5M
2025 $145M -$41.2M $121M $56.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $36.5M $3.0M
Dec 2025 $32.1M -$23.8M
Mar 2026 $29.2M -$2.4M
Jun 2026 $21.8M -$62.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.9%
Institutional Ownership40.1%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.02%
Number of Funds Holding90

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.23Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.40 resistance 1.19x 0 months ago
$3.50 resistance 1.00x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (38 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.93% -0.34% 36.84% 9.93% -13.01%
1 Day -1.61% -0.95% 31.58% 12.19% -16.67%
1 Week -2.35% -1.47% 42.11% 12.89% -24.43%
2 Weeks -2.73% -1.88% 36.84% 23.79% -64.21%
1 Month -0.73% -0.86% 43.24% 57.79% -83.00%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%44.4%9
Feb-4.7%22.2%9
Mar-12.5%22.2%9
Apr-4.5%44.4%9
May3.8%55.6%9
Jun5.0%66.7%9
Jul1.1%50.0%10
Aug-2.6%33.3%9
Sep-1.4%55.6%9
Oct-1.9%22.2%9
Nov6.9%55.6%9
Dec-5.2%33.3%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.25% 45.8% 432
Tuesday -0.08% 47.7% 474
Wednesday -0.20% 46.3% 471
Thursday 0.27% 47.9% 463
Friday 0.10% 50.4% 462

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 40.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change29,199
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nikolic Lazar +$314,181.366 1 2 buy
KASNET STEPHEN G -$160,672.56 2 1 sell
Woodhouse Hope B -$39,619.8 1 1 sell
DEHNE TANUJA M -$16,023.96 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-12 3 3 +$153,511.566

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-12 Nikolic Lazar +$314,181.366 Transaction at $19.33, now -94.5%
2025-11-12 Woodhouse Hope B -$39,619.8 Transaction at $2.70, now -60.7%
2025-11-12 KASNET STEPHEN G -$121,050 Transaction at $2.69, now -60.6%
2026-06-09 KASNET STEPHEN G -$39,622.56 Transaction at $1.48, now -28.4%
2026-06-09 DEHNE TANUJA M -$16,023.96 Transaction at $1.48, now -28.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc (GPMT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GPMT on Trend Edge →