FRBA — First Bank

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About First Bank

First Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses and individuals. It accepts various deposits, including non-interest- and interest-bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as commercial checking and cash management accounts. The company also offers various loan products, such as commercial and industrial loans, which include line of credit, i… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.70
Market Cap$392M
Float21.5M
Shares Outstanding25.1M
P/E (Forward)8.34
P/E (TTM)9.35
Price/Sales (TTM)2.93
vs. Analyst Target+10.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)34.11%
Revenue (TTM)$134M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.90%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$17.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $95.6M $19.4M $66.4M $27.9M
2021 $98.9M $35.4M $89.9M $48.3M
2022 $112M $36.3M $94.6M $49.4M
2023 $173M $20.9M $95.9M $30.0M
2024 $229M $42.2M $129M $59.5M
2025 $247M $43.7M $136M $57.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $61.9M $10.2M
Sep 2025 $63.6M $11.7M
Dec 2025 $64.5M $12.3M
Mar 2026 $58.2M $7.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.4%
Institutional Ownership58.9%
Short Float0.8%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.86Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.03Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.95Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.80 support 1.31x 0 months ago
$15.90 resistance 1.01x 0 months ago
$14.50 support 1.01x 10 months ago
$14.10 support 1.03x 15 months ago
$12.80 support 1.56x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.00% 49.02% 10.83% -5.50%
1 Day 0.42% 0.00% 45.10% 8.47% -7.95%
1 Week 1.42% 0.50% 54.90% 24.03% -10.65%
2 Weeks 2.47% -0.13% 47.06% 35.28% -11.59%
1 Month 2.75% 0.78% 54.00% 28.89% -14.23%

Next earnings: April 27, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%43.8%16
Feb0.9%50.0%16
Mar-1.8%62.5%16
Apr4.3%43.8%16
May-0.2%53.3%15
Jun-3.1%33.3%15
Jul5.2%80.0%15
Aug0.4%40.0%15
Sep2.0%46.7%15
Oct0.2%40.0%15
Nov5.9%75.0%16
Dec0.9%62.5%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 42.3% 735
Tuesday 0.09% 39.8% 807
Wednesday -0.01% 36.9% 804
Thursday -0.04% 40.3% 789
Friday 0.19% 41.4% 788

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for First Bank (FRBA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FRBA on Trend Edge →