FMNB — Farmers National Banc Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FMNB Bullish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 41, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Farmers National Banc Corp

Farmers National Banc Corp. operates as a bank holding company for The Farmers National Bank of Canfield that engages in the banking, trust, retirement consulting, insurance, and financial management businesses. It offers commercial and retail banking services, including checking, savings, and time deposit accounts; commercial, mortgage and installment, and home equity loans; home equity lines of credit; and night depository, safe deposit box, mo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.62
Market Cap$931M
Float57.3M
Shares Outstanding59.2M
P/E (Forward)11.19
P/E (TTM)10.62
Price/Sales (TTM)4.26
vs. Analyst Target+8.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin30.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.99%
Revenue (TTM)$218M
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.40%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$17.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $148M $41.9M $123M $53.4M
2021 $155M $51.8M $141M $65.7M
2022 $178M $60.6M $159M $77.7M
2023 $213M $49.9M $213M $58.7M
2024 $269M $45.9M $162M $61.8M
2025 $272M $54.6M $173M $71.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $70.8M $12.5M
Dec 2025 $69.7M $14.6M
Mar 2026 $72.8M $16.3M
Jun 2026 $72.8M $16.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.4%
Institutional Ownership45.0%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.06%
Number of Funds Holding181

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.83Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.70 support 1.34x 0 months ago
$13.30 support 1.28x 3 months ago
$12.50 support 1.10x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (96 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.64% 0.00% 48.96% 23.44% -7.56%
1 Day 0.96% 0.03% 50.00% 21.87% -5.38%
1 Week 1.72% 0.24% 53.13% 80.99% -15.70%
2 Weeks 2.84% 0.84% 56.25% 130.77% -20.86%
1 Month 3.19% 1.45% 57.89% 134.39% -15.97%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%44.4%27
Feb1.8%50.0%28
Mar0.4%57.1%28
Apr0.4%42.9%28
May-0.1%60.7%28
Jun0.4%67.9%28
Jul-2.1%25.0%28
Aug0.1%51.9%27
Sep-0.5%48.1%27
Oct3.0%40.7%27
Nov2.9%70.4%27
Dec-0.5%40.7%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 39.1% 1304
Tuesday 0.13% 42.7% 1427
Wednesday -0.03% 41.0% 1427
Thursday 0.04% 39.7% 1400
Friday 0.05% 40.1% 1393

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 45.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$117,303
Net Shares Change169,711
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Muransky Edward +$1.5M 2 2 buy
Varischetti Nicholas D +$972,610 2 2 buy
Voinovich Michael C -$331,220.89 1 1 sell
Wenick Mark J SEVP/Chief Wealth Mgt Officer -$79,850 1 1 sell
Richardson Gina A +$45,184.51 3 3 buy
Wallace Amber B SEVP/Chief Retail & Marketing -$37,453 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-24 – 2026-03-05 3 3 +$488,039.21 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 Wenick Mark J SEVP/Chief Wealth Mgt Officer -$79,850 Transaction at $15.97, now -2.2%
2026-06-23 Voinovich Michael C -$331,220.89 Transaction at $14.21, now +9.9%
2026-03-27 Varischetti Nicholas D +$946,810 Transaction at $12.97, now +20.4%
2026-03-04 Muransky Edward +$509,600 Transaction at $12.74, now +22.6%
2026-03-05 Richardson Gina A +$15,892.21 Transaction at $12.91, now +21.0%
2026-02-24 Wallace Amber B SEVP/Chief Retail & Marketing -$37,453 Transaction at $13.39, now +16.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Farmers National Banc Corp (FMNB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FMNB on Trend Edge →