FCBC — First Community Bancshares Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FCBC Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 46, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction46
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About First Community Bancshares Inc

First Community Bankshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for First Community Bank that provides various banking products and services. It offers demand and savings deposits, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts; commercial loans, such as loans to small and mid-size industrial, commercial, and service companies; and consumer real estate loans, including home equity loans, lines of cre… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$49.34
Market Cap$927M
Float15.9M
Shares Outstanding18.9M
P/E (Forward)8.53
P/E (TTM)15.37
Price/Sales (TTM)4.96
vs. Analyst Target+1.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)53.61%
Revenue (TTM)$187M
Earnings Growth (YoY)77.80%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$50.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $138M $35.9M $120M $52.0M
2021 $133M $51.2M $139M $72.4M
2022 $142M $46.7M $134M $65.8M
2023 $166M $48.0M $148M $67.7M
2024 $176M $51.6M $153M $72.2M
2025 $185M $48.8M $167M $68.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $43.9M $12.3M
Dec 2025 $43.5M $12.5M
Mar 2026 $44.6M $12.0M
Jun 2026 $6.8M $22.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.6%
Institutional Ownership37.9%
Short Float3.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.66%
Number of Funds Holding146

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$47.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$41.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$39.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$36.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$41.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$37.78Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$45.00 support 1.32x 0 months ago
$38.80 support 1.70x 4 months ago
$36.10 support 1.61x 5 months ago
$33.10 support 1.07x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.06% 0.00% 49.11% 4.77% -4.24%
1 Day 0.22% 0.00% 48.21% 9.05% -11.33%
1 Week 0.59% -0.08% 47.32% 17.46% -16.59%
2 Weeks 0.70% 1.20% 53.57% 26.06% -23.34%
1 Month 0.93% 0.41% 52.25% 35.14% -51.42%

Next earnings: October 27, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.4%37.5%32
Feb-1.4%34.4%32
Mar2.1%56.3%32
Apr1.1%43.8%32
May1.5%48.5%33
Jun2.7%66.7%33
Jul1.8%57.6%33
Aug-1.3%40.6%32
Sep0.3%53.1%32
Oct1.0%62.5%32
Nov2.6%71.9%32
Dec0.8%59.4%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 42.5% 1532
Tuesday 0.12% 44.6% 1673
Wednesday 0.07% 43.4% 1671
Thursday 0.04% 43.6% 1639
Friday -0.01% 42.8% 1632

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$188,109.586
Net Shares Change2,194
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Brown David D Chief Financial Officer -$132,734.16 1 1 sell
Harmon Sarah W SVP & General Counsel -$42,849.09 1 1 sell
Taylor Beth Ann -$39,440 1 1 sell
Mills Gary R President -$30,026.265 1 1 sell
Bonnett Derek A Chief Risk Officer +$17,499.93 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-24 Harmon Sarah W SVP & General Counsel -$42,849.09 Transaction at $41.11, now +20.0%
2026-07-30 Mills Gary R President -$30,026.265 Transaction at $39.51, now +24.9%
2026-05-28 Brown David D Chief Financial Officer -$132,734.16 Transaction at $42.38, now +16.4%
2026-05-29 Taylor Beth Ann -$39,440 Transaction at $42.50, now +16.1%
2026-02-02 Bonnett Derek A Chief Risk Officer +$17,499.93 Transaction at $34.93, now +41.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for First Community Bancshares Inc (FCBC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FCBC on Trend Edge →