FBK — FB Financial Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FBK Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 36, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction36
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About FB Financial Corp

FB Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for FirstBank that provides a suite of commercial and consumer banking services. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Mortgage. It offers interest-bearing checking, noninterest-bearing demand, money market, and savings accounts; deposit and lending products and services to corporate, commercial, and consumer customers; and time deposits, as well as residential mortgage loans… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$56.68
Market Cap$2.90B
Float50.4M
Shares Outstanding51.5M
P/E (Forward)14.88
P/E (TTM)20.75
Price/Sales (TTM)5.19
vs. Analyst Target+13.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)45.75%
Revenue (TTM)$558M
Earnings Growth (YoY)31.00%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$64.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $616M $63.6M $460M $95.3M
2021 $613M $190M $617M $257M
2022 $596M $125M $508M $172M
2023 $749M $120M $475M $165M
2024 $767M $116M $446M $162M
2025 $878M $123M $517M $151M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $264M $23.4M
Sep 2025 $264M $57.0M
Dec 2025 $264M $57.0M
Mar 2026 $252M $57.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.0%
Institutional Ownership79.3%
Short Float3.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.14%
Number of Funds Holding258

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$54.12Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$55.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$43.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.86Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$51.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$44.78Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$48.00 support 1.65x 10 months ago
$46.00 support 2.68x 11 months ago
$39.00 support 1.49x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.29% 56.41% 7.98% -4.99%
1 Day 0.21% -0.31% 48.72% 12.62% -8.97%
1 Week 0.62% 0.94% 56.41% 13.25% -11.60%
2 Weeks 1.77% 1.76% 64.10% 20.37% -11.20%
1 Month 3.42% 2.56% 61.54% 27.49% -9.59%

Next earnings: July 13, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.4%60.0%10
Feb1.7%40.0%10
Mar-5.6%40.0%10
Apr-0.1%40.0%10
May-0.2%50.0%10
Jun1.8%70.0%10
Jul7.8%88.9%9
Aug0.6%66.7%9
Sep-1.1%44.4%9
Oct4.3%80.0%10
Nov6.3%90.0%10
Dec0.7%50.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 52.5% 461
Tuesday -0.01% 49.5% 507
Wednesday -0.02% 47.4% 504
Thursday 0.14% 52.3% 495
Friday 0.18% 50.8% 494

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-1,908
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McPherson James Austin -$510,510 1 1 sell
Jubran Raja J. +$500,099.419 1 1 buy
Clark Agenia -$141,789.9 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-20 Jubran Raja J. +$500,099.419 Transaction at $54.67, now +3.7%
2026-01-20 McPherson James Austin -$510,510 Transaction at $60.06, now -5.6%
2025-12-12 Clark Agenia -$71,607.8 Transaction at $59.18, now -4.2%
2025-11-06 Clark Agenia -$70,182.1 Transaction at $52.18, now +8.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for FB Financial Corp (FBK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FBK on Trend Edge →