FBIZ — First Business Financial Services

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About First Business Financial Services

First Business Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Business Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and medium-sized businesses, business owners, executives, professionals, and high net worth individuals in Wisconsin, Kansas, and Missouri. The company offers commercial real estate lending, commercial and industrial lending, asset-based lending, accounts receivable financing, equipm… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$57.66
Market Cap$478M
Float7.8M
Shares Outstanding8.4M
P/E (Forward)8.96
P/E (TTM)9.44
Price/Sales (TTM)2.93
vs. Analyst Target+13.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.99%
Revenue (TTM)$163M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.00%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$65.60 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $119M $17.0M $84.8M $21.8M
2021 $124M $35.8M $119M $50.6M
2022 $151M $40.9M $132M $56.3M
2023 $89.2M $17.3M $89.2M $22.6M
2024 $262M $44.2M $145M $54.9M
2025 $279M $50.3M $160M $60.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $68.5M $11.4M
Sep 2025 $73.4M $14.4M
Dec 2025 $70.2M $13.3M
Mar 2026 $70.7M $12.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership71.4%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.62%
Number of Funds Holding133

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$56.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$54.26Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$41.84Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.05Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$51.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$43.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$47.00 support 1.34x 15 months ago
$43.00 support 1.65x 17 months ago
$37.00 support 1.46x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (81 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.03% 50.62% 9.33% -13.04%
1 Day 0.78% 0.00% 49.38% 18.03% -13.34%
1 Week 1.11% 0.37% 51.85% 18.34% -16.27%
2 Weeks 1.20% 1.12% 55.56% 26.83% -15.37%
1 Month 2.12% 0.99% 53.75% 36.59% -19.29%

Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%52.4%21
Feb1.1%52.4%21
Mar-1.4%52.4%21
Apr3.5%71.4%21
May-0.5%45.0%20
Jun0.9%60.0%20
Jul-1.1%35.0%20
Aug0.6%50.0%20
Sep1.4%50.0%20
Oct1.7%60.0%20
Nov5.3%75.0%20
Dec-0.9%38.1%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 40.8% 967
Tuesday 0.02% 39.7% 1060
Wednesday 0.14% 42.4% 1060
Thursday 0.01% 42.4% 1040
Friday 0.09% 44.5% 1037

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 71.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$3,649.4
Net Shares Change11,071
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kauten Ralph R. +$478,000 1 1 buy
Graham Jason R +$47,865 1 1 buy
Crampton Kevin D Chief Accounting Officer +$3,649.4 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-10 Crampton Kevin D Chief Accounting Officer +$3,649.4 Transaction at $51.40, now +12.2%
2025-08-01 Kauten Ralph R. +$478,000 Transaction at $47.80, now +20.6%
2025-08-01 Graham Jason R +$47,865 Transaction at $47.87, now +20.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for First Business Financial Services (FBIZ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FBIZ on Trend Edge →