EGBN — Eagle Bancorp Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EGBN Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 24, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Eagle Bancorp Inc

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States. The provide deposit services including business and personal checking accounts; and other deposit services, including cash management services, business sweep accounts, lock boxes, remote deposit captures, account reconciliation services, merchant card services, safety deposit boxes, and aut… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$28.11
Market Cap$848M
Float26.1M
Shares Outstanding30.5M
P/E (Forward)13.32
Price/Sales (TTM)6.11
vs. Analyst Target+10.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-34.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.17%
Revenue (TTM)$139M
Earnings Growth (YoY)767.60%
Dividend Rate0.0%
Analyst Target Price$31.00 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $436M $132M $320M $181M
2021 $405M $177M $387M $244M
2022 $448M $141M $355M $193M
2023 $647M $101M $281M $131M
2024 $708M -$47.0M $244M -$27.0M
2025 $634M -$128M $20.1M -$168M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $153M -$67.5M
Dec 2025 $162M $7.6M
Mar 2026 $145M $14.7M
Jun 2026 $137M $6.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership80.4%
Short Float10.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.29%
Number of Funds Holding201

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.41Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.49Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.89Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.90 support 1.02x 7 months ago
$16.80 support 1.05x 8 months ago
$15.90 support 1.55x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (103 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.30% 0.00% 48.54% 11.45% -10.54%
1 Day 0.06% 0.00% 46.60% 16.02% -21.22%
1 Week 0.34% -0.06% 48.54% 22.51% -25.13%
2 Weeks 0.35% 0.17% 51.46% 22.17% -35.65%
1 Month 1.76% 1.56% 59.80% 44.11% -36.70%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%70.4%27
Feb0.6%51.9%27
Mar-1.5%40.7%27
Apr-0.4%44.4%27
May1.0%59.3%27
Jun1.3%59.3%27
Jul0.9%48.1%27
Aug-0.5%48.1%27
Sep-0.1%40.7%27
Oct1.7%44.4%27
Nov5.4%63.0%27
Dec1.1%51.9%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 45.1% 1280
Tuesday 0.09% 45.0% 1399
Wednesday -0.01% 42.1% 1399
Thursday 0.11% 46.3% 1373
Friday 0.07% 44.0% 1367

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$50,473.84
Net Shares Change6,050
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mathews Louis P. Jr. +$51,060 1 1 buy
Newell Eric R Senior EVP, CFO +$50,473.84 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-17 Newell Eric R Senior EVP, CFO +$50,473.84 Transaction at $16.55, now +69.9%
2025-11-21 Mathews Louis P. Jr. +$51,060 Transaction at $17.02, now +65.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EGBN on Trend Edge →