Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Ellington Financial Inc.
Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Longbridge. The company acquires and manages residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, non-QM, manufactured housing, subprime residential, a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT-Mortgage
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: October 8, 2010
Headquarters: 53 Forest Avenue, Old Greenwich, CT, United States, 06870
Founder-Led: Yes — Laurence Penn (CEO, President & Director), Mike Vranos (Co-Chief Investment Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$13.59
Market Cap
$1.70B
Float
122.9M
Shares Outstanding
125.4M
P/E (Forward)
9.07
P/E (TTM)
8.38
Price/Sales (TTM)
4.26
vs. Analyst Target
+8.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
53.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)
59.41%
Revenue (TTM)
$400M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
127.00%
Dividend Rate
1.6%
Analyst Target Price
$14.69 (8 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$31.3M
-$9.6M
$31.3M
$36.4M
2021
$122M
$82.5M
$122M
$137M
2022
$43.1M
-$70.0M
$43.1M
$303M
2023
$257M
$84.1M
$257M
$323M
2024
$282M
$146M
$282M
$403M
2025
$675M
$147M
$568M
$459M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$86.3M
$50.0M
Sep 2025
$123M
$36.6M
Dec 2025
$147M
$21.6M
Mar 2026
$229M
$105M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.6%
Institutional Ownership
52.6%
Short Float
0.0%
% of All Funds Holding
2.65%
Number of Funds Holding
218
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$12.95
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$13.18
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$13.01
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$12.90
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$13.12
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$12.96
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$12.76
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$14.20
resistance
1.29x
13 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (63 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.21%
0.21%
58.73%
3.83%
-3.70%
1 Day
0.28%
0.19%
60.32%
5.51%
-4.74%
1 Week
0.85%
0.86%
61.90%
11.50%
-9.49%
2 Weeks
0.38%
0.76%
55.56%
14.81%
-11.89%
1 Month
-1.52%
-0.75%
46.77%
15.51%
-61.09%
Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.7%
68.8%
16
Feb
0.4%
50.0%
16
Mar
-4.2%
43.8%
16
Apr
6.6%
62.5%
16
May
-0.4%
46.7%
15
Jun
0.9%
46.7%
15
Jul
0.4%
33.3%
15
Aug
-0.5%
33.3%
15
Sep
-3.3%
20.0%
15
Oct
0.5%
46.7%
15
Nov
0.8%
56.3%
16
Dec
-1.8%
25.0%
16
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.10%
49.9%
736
Tuesday
0.01%
51.0%
808
Wednesday
0.02%
49.1%
805
Thursday
0.03%
51.4%
790
Friday
0.09%
51.8%
789
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 52.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 2.6%
Founder-led management: Laurence Penn (CEO, President & Director), Mike Vranos (Co-Chief Investment Officer)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ellington Financial Inc.
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.