BIRK — Birkenstock Holding plc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Birkenstock Holding plc

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$41.38
Market Cap$7.30B
Float55.4M
Shares Outstanding183.9M
P/E (Forward)16.95
P/E (TTM)17.79
Price/Sales (TTM)3.34
vs. Analyst Target+25.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.30%
Operating Margin (TTM)26.93%
Revenue (TTM)$2.18B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-20.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$51.86 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $729M -$106M $260M $3.3M
2021 $962M $116M $546M $230M
2022 $1.24B $187M $750M $414M
2023 $1.49B $75.0M $926M $360M
2024 $1.80B $192M $1.06B $504M
2025 $2.10B $348M $1.24B $659M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $635M $129M
Sep 2025 $526M $93.9M
Dec 2025 $402M $50.6M
Mar 2026 $629M $83.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.7%
Institutional Ownership96.7%
Short Float19.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.57%
Number of Funds Holding211

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.97Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$41.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$46.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$41.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$46.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$45.00 resistance 1.16x 6 months ago
$51.00 resistance 1.16x 7 months ago
$57.00 resistance 1.22x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (11 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.55% 0.52% 81.82% 2.25% -1.50%
1 Day -0.49% 0.75% 54.55% 3.48% -6.59%
1 Week -0.52% -1.73% 45.45% 19.96% -12.42%
2 Weeks -0.89% -1.70% 50.00% 7.86% -15.49%
1 Month -5.32% -6.25% 20.00% 4.69% -13.30%

Next earnings: May 28, 2026 (2 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.27% 56.5% 124
Tuesday -0.00% 47.4% 135
Wednesday 0.11% 47.0% 132
Thursday -0.32% 46.1% 128
Friday -0.06% 48.5% 132

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BIRK on Trend Edge →