CSAN — Cosan SA ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Cosan SA ADR

Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company's Raízen segment engages in the production, marketing, origination, and trading of sugar, as well as ethanol; production and marketing of bioenergy, and solar energy and biogas; trading and resale of electricity; and trading and marketing of fossil, renewable fuels, and lubricants under the Shell brand. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.34
Market Cap$3.35B
Float1.37B
Shares Outstanding985.6M
P/E (Forward)6.16
Price/Sales (TTM)0.08
vs. Analyst Target+52.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-23.92%
Operating Margin (TTM)30.71%
Revenue (TTM)$39.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-56.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.09 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $13.51B $859M $3.69B $1.39B
2021 $26.09B $6.31B $5.83B $12.65B
2022 $39.32B $1.18B $8.77B $11.14B
2023 $39.47B $1.09B $10.92B $14.12B
2024 $43.95B -$9.42B $13.71B $13.22B
2025 $40.42B -$9.72B $13.18B $3.64B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.48B -$946M
Sep 2025 $10.66B -$1.19B
Dec 2025 $9.76B -$5.89B
Mar 2026 $1.72B -$301M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership2.0%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.84%
Number of Funds Holding69

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.39Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.75Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.70 resistance 1.21x 1 months ago
$5.00 resistance 1.32x 9 months ago
$5.90 resistance 1.39x 10 months ago
$6.60 resistance 2.20x 16 months ago
$8.00 resistance 1.44x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% -0.04% 40.91% 3.63% -5.42%
1 Day -0.25% -0.34% 40.91% 6.50% -7.32%
1 Week -2.98% -2.91% 22.73% 6.38% -9.64%
2 Weeks -2.44% -2.65% 28.57% 20.74% -15.47%
1 Month 0.42% -0.06% 47.62% 47.64% -25.19%

Next earnings: May 21, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 47.3% 243
Tuesday -0.13% 44.3% 271
Wednesday 0.17% 48.7% 269
Thursday -0.00% 45.4% 262
Friday -0.29% 48.1% 264

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$274,316.474
Net Shares Change-140,465
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Drummond Maria Rita de Carvalho Chief Legal Officer -$602,804.94 1 1 sell
Martins Marcelo Eduardo Chief Executive Officer +$328,488.466 1 1 buy
Mello Rubens Ometto Silveira -$267,081.6 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-21 – 2026-05-26 3 3 -$541,398.074 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Martins Marcelo Eduardo Chief Executive Officer +$328,488.466 Transaction at $5.89, now -43.3%
2026-05-21 Drummond Maria Rita de Carvalho Chief Legal Officer -$602,804.94 Transaction at $5.26, now -36.5%
2026-05-26 Mello Rubens Ometto Silveira -$267,081.6 Transaction at $3.44, now -2.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cosan SA ADR (CSAN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CSAN on Trend Edge →