CMTG — Claros Mortgage Trust Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Claros Mortgage Trust Inc

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust. It focuses on originating senior and subordinate loans on transitional commercial real estate assets in the United States. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to federal and state income tax on that portion of its income that is distributed to shareholders if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable inc… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.32
Market Cap$304M
Float128.6M
Shares Outstanding140.2M
P/E (Forward)18.59
Price/Sales (TTM)18.02
vs. Analyst Target+7.8% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)438.46%
Revenue (TTM)-$319M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-95.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $273M $202M $273M $202M
2021 $215M $171M $215M $177M
2022 $270M $112M $270M $216M
2023 $130M $6.0M $80.3M $186M
2024 $171M -$221M -$48.8M -$178M
2025 $430M -$489M -$374M -$488M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $134M -$182M
Sep 2025 $133M -$9.5M
Dec 2025 $75.2M -$219M
Mar 2026 $29.8M -$54.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.5%
Institutional Ownership58.6%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.30%
Number of Funds Holding107

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.27Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.91Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.95Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.80 resistance 1.44x 12 months ago
$4.50 resistance 1.22x 15 months ago
$6.80 resistance 1.27x 16 months ago
$7.40 resistance 1.17x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.11% -1.52% 26.32% 5.26% -9.80%
1 Day 0.34% -0.87% 42.11% 16.43% -8.99%
1 Week -3.74% -4.08% 31.58% 21.33% -20.76%
2 Weeks -3.28% -6.09% 31.58% 13.47% -18.13%
1 Month 2.31% -3.60% 44.44% 41.18% -27.66%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.39% 46.2% 212
Tuesday -0.13% 46.0% 237
Wednesday -0.29% 43.6% 234
Thursday -0.03% 46.9% 228
Friday 0.21% 52.4% 231

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.5%

Founder-led management: Richard Jay Mack (Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$167,147
Net Shares Change95,000
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mack Richard CEO AND CHAIRMAN +$120,355 1 1 buy
WALTER W EDWARD +$56,895 1 1 buy
McGillis Mike PRESIDENT AND CFO +$46,792 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-03 3 3 +$224,042 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-03 McGillis Mike PRESIDENT AND CFO +$46,792 Transaction at $2.34, now -0.8%
2026-03-03 Mack Richard CEO AND CHAIRMAN +$120,355 Transaction at $2.41, now -3.6%
2026-02-26 WALTER W EDWARD +$56,895 Transaction at $2.28, now +1.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CMTG on Trend Edge →