CIM — Chimera Investment Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Chimera Investment Corporation

Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans, non-agency mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgage-backed securities, business purpose loans, investor loans, mortgage … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.57
Market Cap$1.11B
Float81.4M
Shares Outstanding83.6M
P/E (Forward)6.46
Price/Sales (TTM)5.17
vs. Analyst Target+9.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.98%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.29%
Revenue (TTM)$215M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-58.50%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$14.83 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $229M $88.9M $229M $192M
2021 $1.06B $670M $1.06B $745M
2022 -$415M -$513M -$415M -$192M
2023 $205M $126M $205M $643M
2024 $258M $176M $258M $673M
2025 $821M $230M $779M $795M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $60.1M $35.5M
Sep 2025 $230M -$580,000
Dec 2025 $209M $28.3M
Mar 2026 $210M -$43.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership60.4%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.24%
Number of Funds Holding184

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.40 support 1.42x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.20% 54.05% 6.79% -9.20%
1 Day -0.51% -0.09% 47.30% 6.17% -20.25%
1 Week -0.19% 0.14% 51.35% 14.70% -25.50%
2 Weeks -0.42% -0.11% 48.65% 13.45% -25.74%
1 Month -0.23% 0.99% 57.53% 22.94% -45.03%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.6%57.9%19
Feb-1.4%47.4%19
Mar-4.6%42.1%19
Apr0.2%73.7%19
May-1.3%33.3%18
Jun-1.3%50.0%18
Jul1.2%55.6%18
Aug-0.2%44.4%18
Sep-4.5%33.3%18
Oct-1.5%50.0%18
Nov3.3%72.2%18
Dec-1.4%36.8%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.18% 49.0% 872
Tuesday -0.05% 48.6% 956
Wednesday -0.08% 49.0% 954
Thursday -0.02% 49.7% 935
Friday 0.20% 53.2% 932

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 60.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CIM on Trend Edge →