CHMG — Chemung Financial Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CHMG Bullish with a Setup Score of 21, net conviction 39, actionability 11. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score21
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability11 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Chemung Financial Corp

Chemung Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Chemung Canal Trust Company that provides a range of banking, financing, fiduciary, and other financial services. The company provides demand, savings, and time deposits; non-interest and interest-bearing checking accounts; and insured money market deposits. It also offers commercial and agricultural loans comprising loans to small to mid-sized businesses; commercial and residen… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$80.54
Market Cap$391M
Float3.2M
Shares Outstanding4.8M
P/E (Forward)9.29
P/E (TTM)11.65
Price/Sales (TTM)3.34
vs. Analyst Target+11.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.93%
Revenue (TTM)$117M
Earnings Growth (YoY)51.70%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$89.63 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $86.9M $19.3M $78.6M $28.1M
2021 $91.8M $26.4M $88.4M $37.3M
2022 $102M $28.8M $95.2M $39.9M
2023 $113M $25.0M $113M $31.5M
2024 $150M $23.7M $96.2M $32.1M
2025 $140M $15.1M $89.8M $22.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $39.7M $7.8M
Dec 2025 $40.9M $7.7M
Mar 2026 $39.9M $9.2M
Jun 2026 $18.1M $8.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.1%
Institutional Ownership51.1%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding1.18%
Number of Funds Holding104

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$82.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$69.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$59.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$50.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$70.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$60.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$77.00 support 3.28x 2 months ago
$69.00 support 3.03x 3 months ago
$54.00 support 1.18x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (106 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 32.08% 3.99% -5.88%
1 Day 0.14% 0.00% 34.91% 14.56% -6.49%
1 Week 0.10% 0.40% 52.83% 9.18% -16.52%
2 Weeks 0.34% 0.19% 53.77% 12.50% -17.66%
1 Month 0.60% 0.63% 57.55% 21.13% -28.10%

Next earnings: October 20, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%33.3%27
Feb-1.0%50.0%28
Mar-1.0%32.1%28
Apr0.0%50.0%28
May1.5%64.3%28
Jun1.5%46.4%28
Jul0.5%53.6%28
Aug-0.6%32.1%28
Sep1.3%53.6%28
Oct1.1%63.0%27
Nov2.7%66.7%27
Dec0.9%44.4%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 32.5% 1309
Tuesday 0.02% 34.5% 1433
Wednesday 0.08% 36.2% 1433
Thursday 0.06% 37.1% 1406
Friday 0.01% 33.2% 1399

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 51.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$491,473.442
Net Shares Change-6,771
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COLE LOREN D EVP & CIO -$430,847.1 1 1 sell
STREETER JEFFREY B +$181,352.105 2 2 buy
Dalrymple Robert H -$160,231.93 1 1 sell
Tyrrell Thomas R. -$81,979.804 2 2 sell
Fariello Daniel D President, Capital Bank Div. -$60,626.342 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-17 COLE LOREN D EVP & CIO -$430,847.1 Transaction at $83.50, now -3.5%
2025-10-30 STREETER JEFFREY B +$113,400.05 Transaction at $51.92, now +55.1%
2025-10-29 STREETER JEFFREY B +$67,952.055 Transaction at $51.64, now +56.0%
2026-04-27 Tyrrell Thomas R. -$51,479.804 Transaction at $65.33, now +23.3%
2026-02-05 Fariello Daniel D President, Capital Bank Div. -$45,725.24 Transaction at $61.13, now +31.8%
2026-02-04 Fariello Daniel D President, Capital Bank Div. -$14,901.102 Transaction at $61.57, now +30.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CHMG on Trend Edge →