CFR — Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Frost Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services in Texas. The company offers commercial banking services to corporations, including financing for industrial and commercial properties, interim construction related to industrial and commercial properties, equipment, inventories and accounts receivables, and acquisitions; and treasury management services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$137.69
Market Cap$8.73B
Float61.9M
Shares Outstanding62.8M
P/E (Forward)13.21
P/E (TTM)13.54
Price/Sales (TTM)3.91
vs. Analyst Target+9.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.90%
Revenue (TTM)$2.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)15.20%
Dividend Rate4.1%
Analyst Target Price$150.53 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.49B $331M $1.20B $416M
2021 $1.40B $443M $1.37B $559M
2022 $1.88B $579M $1.69B $740M
2023 $1.99B $598M $2.22B $712M
2024 $2.85B $583M $2.00B $779M
2025 $2.92B $649M $2.19B $859M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $719M $157M
Sep 2025 $746M $174M
Dec 2025 $746M $166M
Mar 2026 $575M $171M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.1%
Institutional Ownership90.2%
Short Float0.0%
% of All Funds Holding6.17%
Number of Funds Holding507

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$139.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$132.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$131.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$121.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$132.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$131.41Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$118.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$127.00 support 1.24x 3 months ago
$111.00 support 1.22x 18 months ago
$102.00 support 1.59x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.11% 55.28% 3.72% -12.26%
1 Day 0.14% -0.03% 48.78% 8.84% -8.32%
1 Week 0.99% 0.55% 56.10% 24.49% -8.94%
2 Weeks 1.36% 0.94% 56.10% 21.33% -11.71%
1 Month 1.54% 1.43% 61.48% 26.70% -16.67%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%54.3%46
Feb1.7%63.0%46
Mar-1.2%47.8%46
Apr2.6%66.0%47
May1.5%63.0%46
Jun0.6%54.3%46
Jul3.5%58.7%46
Aug0.2%56.5%46
Sep-0.3%43.5%46
Oct0.9%58.7%46
Nov1.4%58.7%46
Dec0.3%47.8%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 44.5% 2200
Tuesday 0.05% 44.0% 2389
Wednesday 0.09% 45.0% 2386
Thursday 0.08% 46.0% 2340
Friday 0.06% 44.8% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change10,127
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GREEN PHILLIP D Chairman and CEO -$517,103.6 1 1 sell
Berman Bobby GEVP Research and Strategy -$215,906.4 2 2 sell
Bracher Paul President of CFR -$134,984 1 1 sell
Stead Jimmy GEVP Chief Consumer Banking -$127,086 1 1 sell
Rhodes Coolidge E JR Group EVP General Counsel/Sec -$102,817.6 1 1 sell
Severyn Carol Jean GEVP and Chief Risk Officer -$100,520 1 1 sell
Alonzo Annette M GEVP Chief HR Officer -$99,084 1 1 sell
Kasanoff Howard L. GEVP Chief Credit Officer -$56,434.8 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-09 9 8 -$1.4M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-09 Rhodes Coolidge E JR Group EVP General Counsel/Sec -$102,817.6 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%
2026-02-09 Stead Jimmy GEVP Chief Consumer Banking -$127,086 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%
2026-02-09 Severyn Carol Jean GEVP and Chief Risk Officer -$100,520 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%
2026-02-09 GREEN PHILLIP D Chairman and CEO -$517,103.6 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%
2026-02-09 Kasanoff Howard L. GEVP Chief Credit Officer -$56,434.8 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%
2026-02-09 Bracher Paul President of CFR -$134,984 Transaction at $143.60, now -4.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CFR on Trend Edge →