CFFN — Capitol Federal Financial Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CFFN Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 29, actionability 57. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability57 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Capitol Federal Financial Inc

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank that provides various retail banking products and services in the United States. The company offers a range of deposit products, including savings accounts, money market accounts, interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as retirement accounts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.54
Market Cap$1.05B
Float106.2M
Shares Outstanding123.4M
P/E (Forward)20.45
P/E (TTM)13.06
Price/Sales (TTM)4.64
vs. Analyst Target+11.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin36.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)50.09%
Revenue (TTM)$226M
Earnings Growth (YoY)35.60%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$9.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $322M $64.5M $184M $91.7M
2021 $279M $76.1M $204M $107M
2022 $300M $84.5M $217M $118M
2023 $186M -$102M -$27.7M -$129M
2024 $379M $38.0M $163M $62.8M
2025 $417M $68.0M $197M $90.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $109M $18.8M
Dec 2025 $111M $20.3M
Mar 2026 $110M $20.1M
Jun 2026 $94.9M $23.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership83.2%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.79%
Number of Funds Holding245

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.10 support 1.05x 3 months ago
$6.90 support 1.11x 6 months ago
$5.70 support 1.22x 13 months ago
$5.60 support 1.07x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (103 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 45.63% 2.31% -3.09%
1 Day 0.02% -0.33% 39.81% 11.61% -5.23%
1 Week -0.30% -0.51% 43.69% 18.97% -14.11%
2 Weeks -0.09% 0.06% 50.49% 15.18% -18.57%
1 Month 0.65% 0.24% 51.96% 20.23% -18.76%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%44.4%27
Feb-0.3%48.1%27
Mar-1.0%37.0%27
Apr-0.6%55.6%27
May1.2%60.7%28
Jun0.2%60.7%28
Jul0.7%50.0%28
Aug-1.0%44.4%27
Sep-1.6%40.7%27
Oct3.8%66.7%27
Nov1.6%55.6%27
Dec1.7%63.0%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.0% 1294
Tuesday 0.05% 48.8% 1414
Wednesday -0.07% 44.6% 1414
Thursday 0.04% 48.3% 1387
Friday 0.06% 47.9% 1381

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$168,247.56
Net Shares Change10,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jackson Rick C Executive Vice President +$77,329.48 2 2 buy, 1 sell
DICUS JOHN B Chairman, President and CEO +$31,907.44 1 1 sell
TOWNSEND KENT G Executive Vice President +$22,887.76 1 1 sell
Haag Natalie G. Executive Vice President +$16,057.68 1 1 sell
Barry Anthony S. Executive Vice President +$14,867.2 1 1 sell
Van Houweling Tara Principal Accounting Officer +$5,198 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-05 6 6 +$107,748.56 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-03 Jackson Rick C Executive Vice President +$60,499 Transaction at $6.05, now +41.2%
2026-01-05 Van Houweling Tara Principal Accounting Officer +$5,198 Transaction at $7.73, now +10.5%
2026-01-05 TOWNSEND KENT G Executive Vice President +$22,887.76 Transaction at $7.73, now +10.5%
2026-01-05 Jackson Rick C Executive Vice President +$16,830.48 Transaction at $7.73, now +10.5%
2026-01-05 Haag Natalie G. Executive Vice President +$16,057.68 Transaction at $7.73, now +10.5%
2026-01-05 DICUS JOHN B Chairman, President and CEO +$31,907.44 Transaction at $7.73, now +10.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Capitol Federal Financial Inc (CFFN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CFFN on Trend Edge →