BWFG — Bankwell Financial Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BWFG Bullish with a Setup Score of 51, net conviction 52, actionability 50. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score51
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability50 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bankwell Financial Group Inc

Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bankwell Bank that provides various banking services for individual and commercial customers. It provides various traditional depository products, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. The company also offers first mortgage loans secured by one-to-four family owner occupied residential properties for personal use; home equity loans and home e… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$64.72
Market Cap$523M
Float6.0M
Shares Outstanding8.0M
P/E (Forward)8.14
P/E (TTM)12.20
Price/Sales (TTM)4.34
vs. Analyst Target+7.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin35.54%
Operating Margin (TTM)53.34%
Revenue (TTM)$121M
Earnings Growth (YoY)33.30%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$69.50 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $80.4M $5.9M $50.1M $10.6M
2021 $87.0M $26.6M $73.6M $37.4M
2022 $121M $37.4M $92.3M $51.3M
2023 $193M $36.7M $98.4M $51.7M
2024 $196M $9.8M $64.4M $17.1M
2025 $208M $35.2M $107M $52.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $53.1M $10.1M
Dec 2025 $54.0M $9.1M
Mar 2026 $54.1M $11.3M
Jun 2026 $55.5M $12.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.6%
Institutional Ownership65.6%
Short Float8.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.43%
Number of Funds Holding126

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$66.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$55.93Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$47.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$56.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$48.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$38.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$61.00 support 1.88x 2 months ago
$52.00 support 1.90x 3 months ago
$49.00 support 1.38x 5 months ago
$44.00 support 1.03x 10 months ago
$39.60 support 1.72x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (53 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.58% 0.24% 60.38% 6.38% -3.34%
1 Day 0.67% 0.81% 64.15% 6.38% -9.44%
1 Week 1.54% 0.64% 56.60% 14.36% -6.82%
2 Weeks 2.55% 2.48% 66.04% 14.36% -15.29%
1 Month 2.87% 1.57% 67.31% 29.69% -15.08%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (12 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.8%37.5%16
Feb4.6%62.5%16
Mar-1.4%43.8%16
Apr0.9%50.0%16
May-3.4%35.3%17
Jun0.6%58.8%17
Jul3.7%70.6%17
Aug1.6%58.8%17
Sep-0.7%35.3%17
Oct2.0%56.3%16
Nov2.9%62.5%16
Dec2.6%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 38.4% 777
Tuesday 0.10% 37.2% 854
Wednesday 0.01% 38.2% 851
Thursday 0.10% 42.5% 836
Friday 0.03% 39.3% 833

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings44
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change79,760
% of Float1.3%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$1.8M 5 7 buy
Hildebrand Ryan Jason Chief Innovation Officer -$149,898.04 1 1 sell
Dale Eric J +$35,568.3 1 1 buy
Porto Carl M +$21,944.97 1 1 buy
Dunne Jeffrey R +$17,515.71 1 1 buy
Drexler Blake S +$7,784.76 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-08 5 5 +$105,212.37
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-23 8 8 -$634,099.68 5 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-12 9 5 +$1.7M
2026-06-02 – 2026-06-09 7 6 +$77,753.53
2026-08-26 – 2026-09-09 6 5 +$602,746.185

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-09 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$352,506.567 Transaction at $66.94, now -3.3%
2026-09-09 Porto Carl M +$21,944.97 Transaction at $67.11, now -3.6%
2026-09-09 Dunne Jeffrey R +$17,515.71 Transaction at $67.11, now -3.6%
2026-09-09 Drexler Blake S +$7,784.76 Transaction at $67.11, now -3.6%
2026-09-09 Dale Eric J +$35,568.3 Transaction at $67.11, now -3.6%
2026-08-26 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$167,425.878 Transaction at $65.92, now -1.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bankwell Financial Group Inc (BWFG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BWFG on Trend Edge →