BWFG — Bankwell Financial Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Bankwell Financial Group Inc

Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bankwell Bank that provides various banking services for individual and commercial customers. It provides various traditional depository products, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. The company also offers first mortgage loans secured by one-to-four family owner occupied residential properties for personal use; home equity loans and home e… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$52.49
Market Cap$421M
Float5.9M
Shares Outstanding8.0M
P/E (Forward)8.14
P/E (TTM)10.58
Price/Sales (TTM)3.64
vs. Analyst Target+3.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin34.29%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.71%
Revenue (TTM)$115M
Earnings Growth (YoY)62.10%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$54.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $80.4M $5.9M $50.1M $10.6M
2021 $87.0M $26.6M $73.6M $37.4M
2022 $121M $37.4M $92.3M $51.3M
2023 $193M $36.7M $98.4M $51.7M
2024 $196M $9.8M $64.4M $17.1M
2025 $208M $35.2M $107M $52.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $50.7M $9.1M
Sep 2025 $53.1M $10.1M
Dec 2025 $54.0M $9.1M
Mar 2026 $54.1M $11.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.6%
Institutional Ownership60.3%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.35%
Number of Funds Holding111

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$51.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$47.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$40.29Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$46.92Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$33.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$49.00 support 1.42x 0 months ago
$44.00 support 1.03x 5 months ago
$39.60 support 1.72x 8 months ago
$35.90 support 1.84x 9 months ago
$28.40 support 1.39x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.59% 0.29% 59.62% 6.38% -3.34%
1 Day 0.63% 0.81% 63.46% 6.38% -9.44%
1 Week 1.33% 0.58% 55.77% 14.36% -6.82%
2 Weeks 2.40% 2.39% 65.38% 14.36% -15.29%
1 Month 2.80% 1.06% 66.67% 29.69% -15.08%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.8%37.5%16
Feb4.6%62.5%16
Mar-1.4%43.8%16
Apr0.9%50.0%16
May-3.7%31.3%16
Jun-0.1%56.3%16
Jul2.9%68.8%16
Aug1.9%62.5%16
Sep-0.6%37.5%16
Oct2.0%56.3%16
Nov2.9%62.5%16
Dec2.6%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 38.5% 759
Tuesday 0.10% 37.0% 835
Wednesday 0.01% 38.1% 832
Thursday 0.08% 41.7% 817
Friday 0.02% 38.4% 816

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 60.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings49
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change105,451
% of Float1.8%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$2.0M 7 8 buy
Porto Carl M +$18,078 1 1 buy
Dunne Jeffrey R +$16,422 1 1 buy
Drexler Blake S +$1,242 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-09 – 2025-06-11 6 6 +$39,968.67 1 C-suite
2025-08-29 – 2025-09-12 10 7 +$836,232.19 2 C-suite
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-08 5 5 +$105,212.37
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-24 9 8 -$160,137.68 5 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-12 9 5 +$1.7M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-11 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$471,080.16 Transaction at $47.00, now +11.7%
2026-05-18 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$8,486.4 Transaction at $49.92, now +5.1%
2026-05-14 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$96,709.019 Transaction at $50.11, now +4.8%
2026-03-16 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$469,599 Transaction at $46.96, now +11.8%
2026-03-13 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$468,753 Transaction at $46.88, now +12.0%
2026-03-12 SEIDMAN LAWRENCE B +$466,462 Transaction at $46.65, now +12.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bankwell Financial Group Inc (BWFG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BWFG on Trend Edge →