BWB — Bridgewater Bancshares Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BWB Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 44, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction44
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bridgewater Bancshares Inc

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bridgewater Bank that provides banking products and services in the United States. The company provides commercial loans, including loans secured by nonfarm, nonresidential properties, multifamily residential properties, and nonowner occupied single family residential properties; construction, land development, and commercial and industrial loans; commercial real estate loans, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.12
Market Cap$601M
Float22.5M
Shares Outstanding27.9M
P/E (Forward)11.25
P/E (TTM)11.78
Price/Sales (TTM)3.81
vs. Analyst Target+13.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin35.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.76%
Revenue (TTM)$158M
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$24.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $121M $27.2M $81.1M $37.1M
2021 $134M $45.7M $110M $64.1M
2022 $169M $53.4M $128M $75.0M
2023 $227M $40.0M $110M $55.7M
2024 $251M $32.8M $104M $45.7M
2025 $292M $46.1M $138M $64.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $75.4M $11.6M
Dec 2025 $76.5M $13.3M
Mar 2026 $79.4M $17.4M
Jun 2026 $24.1M $14.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership19.7%
Institutional Ownership70.0%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.71%
Number of Funds Holding150

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.37Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.35Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.97Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.80 support 2.41x 1 months ago
$16.20 support 1.70x 10 months ago
$14.60 support 1.23x 13 months ago
$13.80 support 2.19x 15 months ago
$11.70 support 1.05x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.40% 0.00% 45.71% 2.77% -6.97%
1 Day 0.41% 0.78% 57.14% 6.23% -7.02%
1 Week 0.31% -0.23% 48.57% 11.70% -11.94%
2 Weeks 0.92% 0.81% 54.29% 16.14% -14.01%
1 Month 1.05% 0.29% 52.94% 25.57% -14.48%

Next earnings: October 20, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%62.5%8
Feb-1.4%37.5%8
Mar-6.8%12.5%8
Apr0.7%55.6%9
May-0.3%66.7%9
Jun3.6%55.6%9
Jul2.9%66.7%9
Aug0.7%62.5%8
Sep0.7%50.0%8
Oct3.2%75.0%8
Nov3.3%87.5%8
Dec2.4%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 48.8% 400
Tuesday -0.03% 48.7% 437
Wednesday -0.01% 50.1% 433
Thursday 0.13% 51.1% 427
Friday 0.14% 48.5% 425

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 70.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 19.7%

Founder-led management: Jerry J. Baack (CEO, Founder & Non Independent Executive Chairman), Jeffrey D. Shellberg (Co-Founder, EVP, Deputy Chief Credit Officer, Secretary & Non Independent Executive Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings35
Net Value-$3.4M
Net Shares Change-409,562
% of Float-1.8%
C-Suite Filings20
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shellberg Jeffrey D. -$4.2M 2 2 sell
Baack Jerry J. CEO -$1.3M 3 3 sell
Crocker Mary Jayne -$227,397.735 3 1 buy, 2 sell
Chybowski Joseph M. PRESIDENT & CFO -$80,425.8 1 1 sell
Place Nicholas L. CHIEF BANKING OFFICER +$3,013.8 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-28 – 2025-11-07 5 4 +$63,901.445 4 C-suite
2025-12-09 – 2025-12-12 5 4 -$1.1M 4 C-suite
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-12 3 3 -$532,425.685
2026-05-01 – 2026-05-12 5 3 -$442,260.436 1 C-suite
2026-05-22 – 2026-06-05 3 3 -$572,223.605 1 C-suite
2026-07-29 – 2026-08-10 5 3 -$5.0M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-14 Baack Jerry J. CEO -$553,500 Transaction at $22.14, now -4.6%
2026-07-29 Baack Jerry J. CEO -$567,763.538 Transaction at $20.85, now +1.3%
2026-08-05 Shellberg Jeffrey D. -$3.4M Transaction at $21.04, now +0.4%
2026-08-10 Shellberg Jeffrey D. -$850,284 Transaction at $21.26, now -0.6%
2026-08-03 Crocker Mary Jayne -$11.535 Transaction at $16.39, now +28.9%
2026-08-18 Baack Jerry J. CEO -$224,813 Transaction at $22.48, now -6.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BWB on Trend Edge →