BUSE — First Busey Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BUSE Bullish with a Setup Score of 53, net conviction 46, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score53
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction46
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About First Busey Corp

First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank that engages in the provision of retail and commercial banking products and services to individual, corporate, institutional, and governmental customers in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Banking, Wealth Management, and FirsTech. It offers demand and savings deposits, money transfers, safe deposit services, individual retirement accounts an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$29.99
Market Cap$2.50B
Float79.6M
Shares Outstanding82.6M
P/E (Forward)10.36
P/E (TTM)12.34
Price/Sales (TTM)3.19
vs. Analyst Target+11.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.09%
Revenue (TTM)$783M
Earnings Growth (YoY)32.70%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$33.29 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $445M $100M $362M $156M
2021 $432M $123M $419M $185M
2022 $487M $128M $445M $187M
2023 $50.8M $131M $6.7M -$485,000
2024 $663M $114M $453M $174M
2025 $1.04B $135M $667M $205M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $286M $57.1M
Dec 2025 $278M $60.8M
Mar 2026 $268M $50.0M
Jun 2026 $106M $63.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.3%
Institutional Ownership68.9%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.93%
Number of Funds Holding258

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$26.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$26.65Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.90Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.20 support 1.62x 1 months ago
$22.10 support 1.03x 11 months ago
$20.80 support 1.13x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.19% 0.00% 45.45% 5.64% -9.98%
1 Day -0.27% -0.28% 41.82% 8.23% -15.94%
1 Week -0.03% 0.24% 53.64% 16.87% -14.45%
2 Weeks 0.14% 0.11% 50.00% 22.24% -17.13%
1 Month 0.07% 0.00% 48.62% 22.13% -23.54%

Next earnings: October 27, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.1%46.4%28
Feb-1.5%39.3%28
Mar0.8%60.7%28
Apr-1.3%39.3%28
May0.9%53.6%28
Jun1.3%67.9%28
Jul0.9%46.4%28
Aug-1.0%44.4%27
Sep0.7%51.9%27
Oct1.6%55.6%27
Nov2.9%78.6%28
Dec1.1%50.0%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 47.2% 1317
Tuesday 0.09% 48.5% 1439
Wednesday 0.01% 46.7% 1440
Thursday 0.02% 46.5% 1412
Friday 0.07% 48.2% 1404

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 68.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+$1.2M
Net Shares Change41,184
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Maddox Mike President +$1.0M 3 3 buy
Phillips Scott A. Chief Accounting Officer +$164,117.045 2 2 buy
BRADSHAW STANLEY J +$83,163.95 4 4 buy
Jensen Karen M +$73,800 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-18 3 3 +$50,889.495 1 C-suite
2026-05-05 – 2026-05-18 3 3 +$125,519 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 Phillips Scott A. Chief Accounting Officer +$129,507.5 Transaction at $25.90, now +15.8%
2025-12-05 Maddox Mike President +$25,519 Transaction at $25.52, now +17.5%
2025-11-04 Phillips Scott A. CAO +$34,609.545 Transaction at $25.64, now +17.0%
2026-05-12 BRADSHAW STANLEY J +$15,594 Transaction at $25.99, now +15.4%
2026-03-23 BRADSHAW STANLEY J +$9,600 Transaction at $24.00, now +25.0%
2026-03-10 BRADSHAW STANLEY J +$24,500 Transaction at $24.50, now +22.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for First Busey Corp (BUSE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BUSE on Trend Edge →