BPOP — Popular Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BPOP Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 32, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Popular Inc

Popular, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various retail, mortgage, and commercial banking services for individuals and businesses in Puerto Rico, the United States, the British Virgin Islands, the Caribbean, and Latin America. The company offers savings, NOW, money market, and other interest-bearing demand accounts; non-interest bearing demand deposits; checking accounts; individual retirement accounts and educational contribution accoun… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$169.55
Market Cap$10.73B
Float62.0M
Shares Outstanding63.8M
P/E (Forward)12.39
P/E (TTM)11.53
Price/Sales (TTM)3.50
vs. Analyst Target+16.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.97%
Revenue (TTM)$3.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)40.90%
Dividend Rate3.0%
Analyst Target Price$197.30 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.49B $507M $1.96B $683M
2021 $2.64B $935M $2.67B $1.31B
2022 $3.24B $1.10B $2.85B $1.29B
2023 $3.76B $541M $2.44B $737M
2024 $4.19B $614M $2.54B $857M
2025 $4.43B $833M $2.93B $1.06B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.10B $211M
Dec 2025 $1.12B $234M
Mar 2026 $1.11B $246M
Jun 2026 $1.17B $278M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership94.1%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding5.32%
Number of Funds Holding468

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$171.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$145.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$127.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$98.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$145.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$126.68Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$104.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 support 1.11x 1 months ago
$115.00 support 1.02x 7 months ago
$90.00 support 1.17x 20 months ago
$89.00 support 1.11x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.02% 51.61% 6.56% -3.19%
1 Day 0.22% 0.27% 53.23% 14.75% -12.05%
1 Week 0.82% 0.01% 50.00% 28.20% -15.34%
2 Weeks 0.82% 0.52% 54.84% 26.56% -30.35%
1 Month 1.53% 2.00% 60.98% 53.98% -40.89%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%54.3%46
Feb1.3%67.4%46
Mar1.1%45.7%46
Apr2.8%61.7%47
May-0.2%51.1%47
Jun-0.6%44.7%47
Jul2.4%63.8%47
Aug0.9%43.5%46
Sep0.6%52.2%46
Oct0.6%52.2%46
Nov2.7%60.9%46
Dec1.7%60.9%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 41.5% 2213
Tuesday 0.07% 42.0% 2401
Wednesday 0.03% 41.7% 2399
Thursday 0.08% 43.3% 2353
Friday 0.16% 43.4% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$11.4M
Net Shares Change-130,273
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FERRER JAVIER D. PRESIDENT & CEO -$6.1M 1 1 sell
BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M -$3.5M 1 1 sell
MONZON GILBERTO EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT -$2.2M 1 1 sell
CESTERO LUIS E. Executive Vice President -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Ferre Maria Luisa -$1.1M 1 2 sell
GONZALEZ-NOGUERA MARIA CRISTINA Executive Vice President -$920,786.8 1 1 sell
Soriano Lidio Executive Vice President -$523,515 1 1 sell
Sanchez Alejandro M -$249,481.35 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-31 – 2026-08-11 4 4 -$9.3M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-31 Ferre Maria Luisa -$1.1M Transaction at $174.60, now -2.9%
2026-08-11 FERRER JAVIER D. PRESIDENT & CEO -$6.1M Transaction at $175.43, now -3.4%
2026-08-06 CESTERO LUIS E. Executive Vice President -$1.5M Transaction at $176.36, now -3.9%
2026-08-11 Soriano Lidio Executive Vice President -$523,515 Transaction at $174.50, now -2.8%
2026-05-04 GONZALEZ-NOGUERA MARIA CRISTINA Executive Vice President -$920,786.8 Transaction at $148.51, now +14.2%
2026-05-01 BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M -$3.5M Transaction at $150.00, now +13.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Popular Inc (BPOP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BPOP on Trend Edge →