BOKF — BOK Financial Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BOKF Bullish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 43, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About BOK Financial Corporation

BOK Financial Corporation operates as the financial holding company for BOKF, NA that provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management. The Commercial Banking segment offers lending, treasury, cash management, and customer commodity risk management products for … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$138.62
Market Cap$8.50B
Float18.7M
Shares Outstanding60.8M
P/E (Forward)14.18
P/E (TTM)13.23
Price/Sales (TTM)3.73
vs. Analyst Target+9.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.09%
Revenue (TTM)$2.28B
Earnings Growth (YoY)33.20%
Dividend Rate2.5%
Analyst Target Price$152.00 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.05B $435M $1.67B $663M
2021 $1.83B $618M $1.87B $899M
2022 $2.00B $520M $1.79B $768M
2023 $3.05B $531M $1.93B $793M
2024 $3.36B $524M $1.92B $772M
2025 $3.33B $578M $2.12B $794M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $844M $141M
Dec 2025 $841M $177M
Mar 2026 $827M $156M
Jun 2026 $877M $177M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership63.3%
Institutional Ownership38.1%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.44%
Number of Funds Holding303

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$141.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$131.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$116.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$102.62Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$129.54Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$116.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$103.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$127.00 support 1.09x 3 months ago
$119.00 support 1.19x 6 months ago
$104.00 support 1.47x 8 months ago
$101.00 support 1.04x 11 months ago
$92.00 support 1.01x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.03% 51.75% 4.40% -6.60%
1 Day 0.06% 0.00% 48.25% 7.42% -7.57%
1 Week 0.38% -0.28% 45.61% 16.85% -8.35%
2 Weeks 0.45% 0.05% 50.00% 17.60% -15.46%
1 Month 0.85% 1.45% 61.06% 20.16% -30.18%

Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%40.0%35
Feb0.4%45.7%35
Mar1.5%68.6%35
Apr1.3%60.0%35
May1.3%60.0%35
Jun0.4%54.3%35
Jul2.7%62.9%35
Aug0.4%58.8%34
Sep0.7%55.9%34
Oct0.8%54.3%35
Nov3.0%77.1%35
Dec1.5%45.7%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 45.3% 1659
Tuesday 0.09% 47.5% 1808
Wednesday 0.20% 46.0% 1804
Thursday -0.02% 45.4% 1771
Friday 0.10% 45.8% 1761

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 38.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 63.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$1.1M
Net Shares Change-20,776
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BANGERT STEVEN -$1.3M 4 7 sell
Vincent Brad A EVP - Specialized Industries -$583,861.3 1 1 sell
Wade Mark B. EVP - Texas Market Executive -$243,139.08 2 2 sell
Reid Jeffrey A. EVP, Chief HR Officer -$162,626.88 1 1 sell
Grunst Martin E EVP, CFO -$27,376.862 1 1 sell
KYMES STACY President & CEO -$1,191.408 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-15 – 2026-01-26 6 6 -$595,039.595 5 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-02-19 5 5 -$101,295.911 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 Vincent Brad A EVP - Specialized Industries -$583,861.3 Transaction at $145.42, now -4.7%
2026-07-27 KYMES STACY President & CEO -$1,191.408 Transaction at $139.53, now -0.7%
2026-08-12 BANGERT STEVEN -$179,950 Transaction at $143.96, now -3.7%
2026-05-08 BANGERT STEVEN -$350,492.15 Transaction at $134.84, now +2.8%
2026-04-24 Reid Jeffrey A. EVP, Chief HR Officer -$162,626.88 Transaction at $135.52, now +2.3%
2026-05-11 Wade Mark B. EVP - Texas Market Executive -$225,454 Transaction at $132.62, now +4.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BOKF on Trend Edge →