BCML — BayCom Corp

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About BayCom Corp

BayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company provides demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. It also offers commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and wo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.77
Market Cap$340M
Float10.3M
Shares Outstanding10.9M
P/E (Forward)11.86
P/E (TTM)12.88
Price/Sales (TTM)3.39
vs. Analyst Target+6.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.35%
Operating Margin (TTM)39.78%
Revenue (TTM)$100M
Earnings Growth (YoY)47.00%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$32.67 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $95.6M $13.7M $76.4M $21.9M
2021 $92.8M $20.7M $83.5M $32.3M
2022 $111M $23.7M $96.5M $36.5M
2023 $133M $27.4M $102M $41.1M
2024 $138M $23.6M $95.9M $35.4M
2025 $142M $23.9M $97.1M $36.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $35.0M $6.4M
Sep 2025 $37.5M $5.0M
Dec 2025 $35.6M $6.9M
Mar 2026 $36.1M $8.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.5%
Institutional Ownership64.8%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.13%
Number of Funds Holding93

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$29.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.40Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$28.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$28.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$24.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.70 support 1.12x 17 months ago
$20.40 support 1.09x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.00% 29.23% 7.09% -3.10%
1 Day -0.11% 0.00% 33.85% 3.77% -8.71%
1 Week 0.53% 0.14% 52.31% 16.79% -8.79%
2 Weeks 0.83% 1.23% 63.08% 11.11% -13.89%
1 Month 2.37% 1.93% 67.19% 30.48% -10.07%

Next earnings: July 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.8%52.4%21
Feb4.2%66.7%21
Mar-4.1%38.1%21
Apr1.8%57.1%21
May1.9%65.0%20
Jun-2.6%35.0%20
Jul1.5%60.0%20
Aug-0.7%30.0%20
Sep0.1%50.0%20
Oct1.1%60.0%20
Nov3.3%55.0%20
Dec0.5%47.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 31.2% 967
Tuesday 0.04% 31.0% 1060
Wednesday 0.02% 30.8% 1060
Thursday 0.07% 32.7% 1039
Friday 0.08% 31.1% 1037

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 64.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.5%

Founder-led management: George J. Guarini (President, Chief Executive Officer and Founding Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$998,236.117
Net Shares Change33,082
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Black William J Executive Vice Chair +$998,236.117 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-07 Black William J Executive Vice Chair +$998,236.117 Transaction at $30.17, now +2.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BayCom Corp (BCML) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BCML on Trend Edge →