AVAL — Grupo Aval

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Grupo Aval

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. provides a range of financial services and products in Colombia and Central America. The company offers traditional deposit services and products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, time deposits, and other deposits. It also provides commercial loans comprising general purpose loans, working capital loans, leases, loans funded by development banks, corporate credit cards, and overdraft loans; consume… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.76
Market Cap$5.06B
Float4.58B
Shares Outstanding378.3M
P/E (TTM)11.51
Price/Sales (TTM)1.09
vs. Analyst Target-16.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.11%
Revenue (TTM)$13.44T
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.90%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$4.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.19T $2.35T $11.19T $5.21T
2021 $20.67T $3.30T $12.82T $7.81T
2022 $27.94T $2.48T $13.16T $7.36T
2023 $38.44T $739.00B $11.05T $4.64T
2024 $36.97T $1.02T $11.30T $4.41T
2025 $42.33T $1.60T $21.54T $3.86T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $9.29T $494.90B
Sep 2025 $9.39T $521.00B
Dec 2025 $11.51T $340.28B
Mar 2026 $11.51T $340.28B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership1.2%
Short Float0.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.54%
Number of Funds Holding44

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.12Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.78Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.90 support 1.95x 1 months ago
$4.80 resistance 1.27x 2 months ago
$3.30 support 1.18x 6 months ago
$2.10 support 2.07x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (46 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.25% 54.35% 2.74% -5.87%
1 Day 0.32% 0.57% 60.87% 4.52% -7.58%
1 Week 0.50% 0.69% 56.52% 20.94% -9.84%
2 Weeks -0.08% -0.07% 47.83% 24.22% -15.00%
1 Month 0.43% 0.77% 54.35% 32.95% -19.43%

Next earnings: May 11, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.6%66.7%12
Feb-3.1%25.0%12
Mar-4.7%41.7%12
Apr1.1%58.3%12
May-1.0%36.4%11
Jun-0.8%27.3%11
Jul-1.2%36.4%11
Aug0.9%54.5%11
Sep-2.1%18.2%11
Oct0.2%33.3%12
Nov-1.6%25.0%12
Dec1.3%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.18% 42.8% 549
Tuesday 0.09% 47.4% 605
Wednesday 0.08% 49.3% 602
Thursday -0.06% 44.8% 589
Friday -0.01% 46.7% 589

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 1.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Grupo Aval (AVAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVAL on Trend Edge →