ATLO — Ames National Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ATLO Bullish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 52, actionability 40. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability40 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ames National Corporation

Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-central, and south-central Iowa. It accepts various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts; and time deposits, such as money market accounts and certificates of deposit. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.89
Market Cap$281M
Float8.7M
Shares Outstanding8.9M
P/E (Forward)12.76
P/E (TTM)12.25
Price/Sales (TTM)3.91
vs. Analyst Target+3.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)42.50%
Revenue (TTM)$72.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)32.10%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$33.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $73.6M $18.9M $59.8M $25.5M
2021 $71.0M $23.9M $67.3M $32.7M
2022 $71.2M $19.3M $63.8M $27.2M
2023 $83.5M $10.8M $53.1M $14.6M
2024 $92.4M $10.2M $54.2M $13.9M
2025 $98.3M $19.0M $65.1M $24.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $24.4M $4.6M
Dec 2025 $26.1M $6.5M
Mar 2026 $25.0M $6.0M
Jun 2026 $8.6M $5.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership41.8%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.15%
Number of Funds Holding101

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$31.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.02Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$21.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$26.70 support 2.00x 6 months ago
$22.90 support 1.47x 8 months ago
$21.50 support 1.74x 9 months ago
$16.60 support 1.22x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (102 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 41.18% 12.63% -10.62%
1 Day -0.23% 0.00% 33.33% 11.74% -10.62%
1 Week 1.29% 0.27% 52.94% 41.07% -12.12%
2 Weeks 0.26% 0.15% 51.96% 19.20% -14.06%
1 Month -0.20% 0.55% 53.47% 36.28% -33.79%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (6 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.8%42.3%26
Feb0.0%57.7%26
Mar-0.3%55.6%27
Apr1.0%48.1%27
May-0.6%40.7%27
Jun2.1%59.3%27
Jul1.3%59.3%27
Aug-2.8%29.6%27
Sep1.0%51.9%27
Oct1.4%50.0%26
Nov0.8%50.0%26
Dec3.4%57.7%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 38.3% 1257
Tuesday 0.05% 38.9% 1374
Wednesday 0.04% 40.6% 1375
Thursday 0.13% 42.6% 1349
Friday 0.10% 41.8% 1343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

Founder-led management: First National Bank (President and Director of First National Bank)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change4,201
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cassabaum Michelle R +$22,751.27 5 5 buy
Beals Douglas W +$10,127 1 1 buy
Schreier Richard +$9,985.6 1 1 buy
Baker Jeffery C +$9,564 1 1 buy
Hagan Patrick G +$8,303 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-17 – 2025-11-24 3 3 +$19,095
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-10 3 3 +$16,421.681

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-10 Baker Jeffery C +$9,564 Transaction at $31.88, now +0.0%
2026-09-01 Cassabaum Michelle R +$5,677.2 Transaction at $31.54, now +1.1%
2026-08-21 Beals Douglas W +$10,127 Transaction at $31.16, now +2.3%
2026-08-03 Cassabaum Michelle R +$4,228 Transaction at $30.20, now +5.6%
2026-08-17 Schreier Richard +$9,985.6 Transaction at $31.60, now +0.9%
2026-05-29 Cassabaum Michelle R +$4,901.1 Transaction at $28.83, now +10.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ames National Corporation (ATLO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ATLO on Trend Edge →