Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About AMERISAFE Inc
AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company provides benefits to injured employees for temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical and hospital expenses. It sells its products through retail and wholesale brokers and agents; and small and mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries, including construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Insurance-Specialty
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: November 18, 2005
Headquarters: 2301 Highway 190 West, Deridder, LA, United States, 70634
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: No
Key Metrics
Current Price
$30.80
Market Cap
$585M
Float
18.3M
Shares Outstanding
18.7M
P/E (Forward)
22.37
P/E (TTM)
12.88
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.80
vs. Analyst Target
+19.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
14.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)
12.68%
Revenue (TTM)
$325M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.50%
Dividend Rate
1.6%
Analyst Target Price
$36.67 (3 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$340M
$86.6M
$340M
$107M
2021
$316M
$65.8M
$155M
$80.5M
2022
$295M
$55.6M
$142M
$69.0M
2023
$307M
$62.1M
$307M
$78.8M
2024
$309M
$55.4M
$128M
$70.1M
2025
$317M
$47.1M
$147M
$59.6M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$81.1M
$14.0M
Sep 2025
$82.0M
$13.8M
Dec 2025
$81.6M
$10.4M
Mar 2026
$80.1M
$8.1M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.0%
Institutional Ownership
100.3%
Short Float
1.7%
% of All Funds Holding
2.04%
Number of Funds Holding
168
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$31.61
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$37.47
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$43.21
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$47.59
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$37.39
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$43.75
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$46.76
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AMERISAFE Inc
(AMSF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.