ZUMZ — Zumiez Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ZUMZ Bearish with a Setup Score of 15, net conviction 32, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score15
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Zumiez Inc

Zumiez Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women in the United States, Australia, Canada, Europe, and internationally. It offers hardgoods, including skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. The company operates stores under the names of Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times through zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au e-commerce … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.11
Market Cap$302M
Float13.0M
Shares Outstanding16.9M
P/E (Forward)11.33
P/E (TTM)23.54
Price/Sales (TTM)0.32
vs. Analyst Target+16.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.54%
Operating Margin (TTM)-7.86%
Revenue (TTM)$938M
Earnings Growth (YoY)49.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$21.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $991M $76.2M $350M $121M
2022 $1.18B $119M $457M $181M
2023 $958M $21.0M $325M $52.7M
2024 $875M -$62.6M $281M -$39.1M
2025 $889M -$1.7M $303M $24.1M
2026 $929M $13.4M $333M $40.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $214M -$1.0M
Nov 2025 $239M $9.2M
Feb 2026 $291M $19.5M
May 2026 $193M -$13.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership23.2%
Institutional Ownership80.9%
Short Float9.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.45%
Number of Funds Holding119

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.18Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.20 resistance 1.41x 0 months ago
$17.20 support 1.09x 9 months ago
$27.40 resistance 1.76x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (77 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.02% -1.51% 42.86% 42.27% -35.73%
1 Day 0.11% 0.17% 50.65% 24.05% -32.46%
1 Week 0.20% -1.17% 45.45% 35.82% -28.58%
2 Weeks -0.25% -0.93% 49.35% 40.06% -28.75%
1 Month 3.31% 3.07% 57.89% 42.05% -25.17%

Next earnings: August 23, 2026 (41 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%42.9%21
Feb2.8%66.7%21
Mar0.9%52.4%21
Apr3.3%57.1%21
May-2.2%57.1%21
Jun-1.7%50.0%22
Jul1.8%47.6%21
Aug2.0%42.9%21
Sep3.8%47.6%21
Oct3.0%61.9%21
Nov2.0%57.1%21
Dec-0.8%42.9%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 47.8% 997
Tuesday 0.07% 48.6% 1093
Wednesday 0.19% 50.9% 1093
Thursday 0.12% 52.3% 1072
Friday -0.03% 48.2% 1067

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 23.2%

Founder-led management: Thomas Campion (Co-Founder & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$643,211.335
Net Shares Change-60,590
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Smith Travis -$541,626.128 2 2 sell
Visser Chris K. Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$334,438.856 2 2 sell
ELLIS ADAM CHRISTOPHER President International -$207,923.275 1 1 sell
Bauza Carmen -$207,837 1 1 sell
Valletta Liliana Gil -$190,821.702 4 4 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-22 6 5 -$1.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-12 Valletta Liliana Gil -$97,084.884 Transaction at $18.81, now -3.7%
2026-06-15 Valletta Liliana Gil -$10,063.818 Transaction at $18.64, now -2.8%
2026-06-10 Valletta Liliana Gil -$5,821.5 Transaction at $19.41, now -6.7%
2026-04-02 Visser Chris K. Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$221,561.439 Transaction at $22.21, now -18.5%
2025-12-22 ELLIS ADAM CHRISTOPHER President International -$207,923.275 Transaction at $28.41, now -36.3%
2025-09-17 Visser Chris K. Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$112,877.418 Transaction at $20.09, now -9.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ZUMZ on Trend Edge →