ROST — Ross Stores Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ROST Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 38, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Ross Stores Inc

Ross Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores under the Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brands in the United States. The company offers designer apparel, accessories, footwear, and home-fashioned products for the entire family. It sells its products to middle income households and households with lower to more moderate incomes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$222.88
Market Cap$70.76B
Float313.1M
Shares Outstanding320.8M
P/E (Forward)28.33
P/E (TTM)30.81
Price/Sales (TTM)2.98
vs. Analyst Target+14.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.38%
Revenue (TTM)$23.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)37.40%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$256.18 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $12.53B $85.4M $2.69B $559M
2022 $18.92B $1.72B $5.21B $2.69B
2023 $18.70B $1.51B $4.75B $2.46B
2024 $20.38B $1.87B $5.58B $2.97B
2025 $21.13B $2.09B $5.87B $3.27B
2026 $22.75B $2.15B $6.36B $3.75B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $5.53B $508M
Oct 2025 $5.60B $512M
Jan 2026 $6.64B $646M
Apr 2026 $6.01B $650M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership94.7%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding15.50%
Number of Funds Holding1,274

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$225.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$199.41Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$169.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$143.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$202.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$171.71Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$152.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$227.00 resistance 1.33x 0 months ago
$204.00 support 1.18x 3 months ago
$136.00 support 1.09x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.31% 58.59% 17.23% -24.49%
1 Day 0.50% 0.18% 54.55% 10.67% -22.47%
1 Week 0.72% 0.62% 57.58% 18.83% -10.93%
2 Weeks 0.48% 1.01% 57.58% 19.84% -45.09%
1 Month 1.41% 1.69% 64.29% 21.19% -31.56%

Next earnings: August 20, 2026 (37 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%58.5%41
Feb4.6%56.1%41
Mar3.0%53.7%41
Apr1.8%58.5%41
May2.2%53.7%41
Jun0.7%48.8%41
Jul0.3%47.5%40
Aug3.0%55.0%40
Sep-2.4%39.0%41
Oct2.3%58.5%41
Nov5.2%65.9%41
Dec-0.3%41.5%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 45.4% 1945
Tuesday -0.03% 47.2% 2115
Wednesday 0.21% 50.7% 2111
Thursday 0.29% 48.9% 2072
Friday -0.02% 47.1% 2060

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$17.8M
Net Shares Change-101,574
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Conroy James Grant CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$5.7M 1 1 sell
Sykes Karen PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS -$2.3M 3 3 sell
Fleming Karen PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS -$1.9M 2 2 sell
Brinkley Stephen C PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS -$1.9M 2 2 sell
Sheehan William W II EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Mueller Patricia H -$400,897.53 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-26 – 2025-10-10 3 3 -$7.2M 3 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-26 5 5 -$8.0M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Sheehan William W II EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.1M Transaction at $216.95, now +2.7%
2026-03-26 Fleming Karen PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS -$1.5M Transaction at $212.75, now +4.8%
2026-03-26 Brinkley Stephen C PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS -$884,428.555 Transaction at $212.91, now +4.7%
2026-03-27 Sykes Karen PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS -$1.2M Transaction at $213.40, now +4.4%
2026-03-12 Sykes Karen PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS -$546,754.982 Transaction at $213.91, now +4.2%
2026-03-12 Mueller Patricia H -$400,897.53 Transaction at $213.13, now +4.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ross Stores Inc (ROST) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ROST on Trend Edge →