ROST — Ross Stores Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ROST Bullish with a Setup Score of 59, net conviction 57, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score59
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction57
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ross Stores Inc

Ross Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores under the Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brands in the United States. The company offers designer apparel, accessories, footwear, and home-fashioned products for the entire family. It sells its products to middle income households and households with lower to more moderate incomes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$222.41
Market Cap$72.24B
Float311.8M
Shares Outstanding320.8M
P/E (Forward)27.40
P/E (TTM)27.23
Price/Sales (TTM)2.95
vs. Analyst Target+21.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.58%
Revenue (TTM)$24.51B
Earnings Growth (YoY)70.50%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$270.56 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $12.53B $85.4M $2.69B $559M
2022 $18.92B $1.72B $5.21B $2.69B
2023 $18.70B $1.51B $4.75B $2.46B
2024 $20.38B $1.87B $5.58B $2.97B
2025 $21.13B $2.09B $5.87B $3.27B
2026 $22.75B $2.15B $6.36B $3.75B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $5.60B $512M
Jan 2026 $6.64B $646M
Apr 2026 $6.01B $650M
Jul 2026 $6.26B $851M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership95.7%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding16.01%
Number of Funds Holding1,408

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$234.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$221.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$185.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$152.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$221.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$185.23Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$161.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$256.00 resistance 1.03x 1 months ago
$204.00 support 1.18x 6 months ago
$136.00 support 1.09x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.30% 58.00% 17.23% -24.49%
1 Day 0.47% 0.17% 54.00% 10.67% -22.47%
1 Week 0.69% 0.61% 57.00% 18.83% -10.93%
2 Weeks 0.46% 0.96% 57.00% 19.84% -45.09%
1 Month 1.36% 1.59% 63.00% 21.19% -31.56%

Next earnings: November 19, 2026 (38 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%58.5%41
Feb4.6%56.1%41
Mar3.0%53.7%41
Apr1.8%58.5%41
May2.2%53.7%41
Jun0.7%48.8%41
Jul0.7%48.8%41
Aug2.7%53.7%41
Sep-2.3%40.5%42
Oct2.3%58.5%41
Nov5.2%65.9%41
Dec-0.3%41.5%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 45.4% 1957
Tuesday -0.03% 47.3% 2128
Wednesday 0.21% 50.7% 2124
Thursday 0.29% 49.0% 2085
Friday -0.01% 47.2% 2073

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$33.7M
Net Shares Change-151,509
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Conroy James Grant CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$20.8M 1 1 sell
Hartshorn Michael J. GROUP PRESIDENT, COO -$4.7M 1 N/A
Brinkley Stephen C PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS -$3.9M 2 2 sell
Sykes Karen PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS -$1.7M 2 2 sell
Fleming Karen PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Sheehan William W II EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Mueller Patricia H -$400,897.53 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-26 5 5 -$8.0M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-15 Conroy James Grant CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$20.8M Transaction at $230.11, now -3.3%
2026-09-15 Brinkley Stephen C PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS -$3.0M Transaction at $230.20, now -3.4%
2026-03-30 Sheehan William W II EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.1M Transaction at $216.95, now +2.5%
2026-03-26 Fleming Karen PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS -$1.5M Transaction at $212.75, now +4.5%
2026-03-26 Brinkley Stephen C PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS -$884,428.555 Transaction at $212.91, now +4.5%
2026-03-27 Sykes Karen PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS -$1.2M Transaction at $213.40, now +4.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ross Stores Inc (ROST) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ROST on Trend Edge →