LULU — Lululemon Athletica Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LULU Bearish with a Setup Score of 67, net conviction 50, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score67
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction50
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lululemon Athletica Inc.

lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Greece, and internationally. It offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for athletic activities, such as yoga, running, training, and other activities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$116.51
Market Cap$13.45B
Float98.1M
Shares Outstanding108.4M
P/E (Forward)10.45
P/E (TTM)9.59
Price/Sales (TTM)1.20
vs. Analyst Target+13.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.03%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.21%
Revenue (TTM)$11.20B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-35.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$132.16 (36 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4.40B $589M $2.46B $1.04B
2022 $6.26B $975M $3.61B $1.60B
2023 $8.11B $855M $4.49B $2.13B
2024 $9.62B $1.55B $5.61B $2.59B
2025 $10.59B $1.81B $6.27B $3.02B
2026 $11.10B $1.58B $6.28B $2.74B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $2.53B $371M
Oct 2025 $2.57B $307M
Jan 2026 $3.64B $587M
Apr 2026 $2.47B $195M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.7%
Institutional Ownership82.3%
Short Float8.8%
% of All Funds Holding10.85%
Number of Funds Holding892

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$120.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$162.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$218.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$301.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$157.49Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$221.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$292.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$132.00 resistance 1.22x 0 months ago
$237.00 resistance 1.37x 11 months ago
$315.00 resistance 1.93x 12 months ago
$365.00 resistance 1.19x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.95% 0.47% 55.26% 17.83% -21.58%
1 Day 0.88% 1.37% 59.21% 16.32% -23.44%
1 Week 2.23% 1.88% 59.21% 32.99% -27.71%
2 Weeks 2.71% 1.68% 64.47% 53.72% -31.81%
1 Month 4.28% 2.31% 61.33% 88.66% -27.89%

Next earnings: August 23, 2026 (43 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.2%42.1%19
Feb-1.2%57.9%19
Mar4.6%57.9%19
Apr5.5%52.6%19
May-1.3%31.6%19
Jun1.1%52.6%19
Jul1.9%61.1%18
Aug1.6%57.9%19
Sep2.9%68.4%19
Oct1.1%42.1%19
Nov2.1%63.2%19
Dec5.2%63.2%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 50.6% 895
Tuesday 0.10% 51.2% 979
Wednesday 0.21% 52.1% 978
Thursday 0.08% 51.4% 958
Friday 0.06% 50.5% 953

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$2.6M
Net Shares Change-731
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BURGOYNE CELESTE Pres Americas & Global Guest -$2.8M 1 1 sell
Bergh Charles V +$1.5M 2 2 buy
MAESTRINI ANDRE Pres, CCO & Interim Co-CEO +$494,590.5 1 1 buy
NEUBURGER NICOLE Chief Brand Officer -$209,612 2 2 sell
FRANK MEGHAN Chief Financial Officer -$98,908.44 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Bergh Charles V +$500,383.62 Transaction at $117.05, now -0.5%
2026-04-03 MAESTRINI ANDRE Pres, CCO & Interim Co-CEO +$494,590.5 Transaction at $151.02, now -22.9%
2026-03-20 Bergh Charles V +$999,978 Transaction at $164.20, now -29.0%
2026-04-09 NEUBURGER NICOLE Chief Brand Officer -$100,142 Transaction at $161.00, now -27.6%
2025-12-17 BURGOYNE CELESTE Pres Americas & Global Guest -$2.8M Transaction at $204.00, now -42.9%
2026-01-02 FRANK MEGHAN Chief Financial Officer -$98,908.44 Transaction at $189.45, now -38.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LULU on Trend Edge →