SFIX — Stitch Fix

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application. Its products include denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.57
Market Cap$491M
Float103.6M
Shares Outstanding121.4M
P/E (Forward)1,111.11
Price/Sales (TTM)0.37
vs. Analyst Target+26.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.39%
Revenue (TTM)$1.32B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-8.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.71B -$67.1M $754M -$29.0M
2021 $2.10B -$8.9M $948M -$33.4M
2022 $2.02B -$207M $887M -$149M
2023 $1.59B -$172M $676M -$113M
2024 $1.34B -$129M $592M -$88.9M
2025 $1.27B -$28.7M $563M -$1.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $325M -$7.4M
Jul 2025 $311M -$8.6M
Oct 2025 $342M -$6.4M
Jan 2026 $341M -$2.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.6%
Institutional Ownership91.4%
Short Float15.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.01%
Number of Funds Holding155

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.46Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.91Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.50 support 1.85x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.29% -4.86% 38.24% 42.42% -29.28%
1 Day -0.43% -1.88% 47.06% 44.35% -39.47%
1 Week -1.61% -1.27% 47.06% 79.46% -43.56%
2 Weeks -2.06% -2.47% 35.29% 99.97% -40.09%
1 Month -1.10% -4.90% 38.24% 72.19% -37.67%

Next earnings: June 9, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan12.0%44.4%9
Feb-6.1%55.6%9
Mar-15.9%22.2%9
Apr-3.0%44.4%9
May10.4%62.5%8
Jun15.1%75.0%8
Jul7.4%62.5%8
Aug-4.6%37.5%8
Sep-8.7%37.5%8
Oct-0.4%50.0%8
Nov8.0%87.5%8
Dec0.9%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.30% 52.0% 398
Tuesday 0.51% 51.1% 438
Wednesday -0.38% 46.3% 434
Thursday -0.13% 46.9% 426
Friday 0.07% 47.1% 427

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.6%

Founder-led management: Katrina Lake (Founder & Executive Chairperson)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$2.3M
Net Shares Change-1,814,774
% of Float-1.8%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Working Capital Advisors (UK) Ltd. -$6.4M 1 1 sell
Lake Katrina -$1.6M 1 N/A
O'Connor Casey Chief Legal Officer -$1.2M 4 N/A
Bacos Anthony Chief Prod/Technology Officer -$660,256.36 2 N/A
Aufderhaar David Chief Financial Officer -$307,547.661 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-22 – 2025-07-29 5 4 -$3.0M 4 C-suite
2026-01-22 – 2026-02-04 4 3 -$668,874.036 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-13 O'Connor Casey Chief Legal Officer -$185,010 Transaction at $3.08, now +15.8%
2025-06-11 Working Capital Advisors (UK) Ltd. -$6.4M Transaction at $4.68, now -23.8%
2026-04-08 Aufderhaar David Chief Financial Officer -$202,731.978 Transaction at $3.09, now +15.7%
2026-01-22 O'Connor Casey Chief Legal Officer -$464,651.238 Transaction at $4.52, now -20.9%
2025-10-21 O'Connor Casey Chief Legal Officer -$220,505 Transaction at $4.41, now -19.0%
2025-07-22 O'Connor Casey Chief Legal Officer -$285,936 Transaction at $4.77, now -25.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stitch Fix (SFIX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SFIX on Trend Edge →