Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates SFIX Bearish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 27, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 24 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 27 |
| Actionability | 22 (in range) |
Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application. Its products include denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $2.95 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $384M |
| Float | 103.2M |
| Shares Outstanding | 118.3M |
| P/E (Forward) | 1,111.11 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 0.29 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +55.9% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | -1.43% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -1.18% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.33B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | -8.30% |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $4.60 (6 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.71B | -$67.1M | $754M | -$29.0M |
| 2021 | $2.10B | -$8.9M | $948M | -$33.4M |
| 2022 | $2.02B | -$207M | $887M | -$149M |
| 2023 | $1.59B | -$172M | $676M | -$113M |
| 2024 | $1.34B | -$129M | $592M | -$88.9M |
| 2025 | $1.27B | -$28.7M | $563M | -$1.9M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $311M | -$8.6M |
| Oct 2025 | $342M | -$6.4M |
| Jan 2026 | $341M | -$2.7M |
| Apr 2026 | $340M | -$1.5M |
| Insider Ownership | 4.9% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 91.4% |
| Short Float | 12.0% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 2.10% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 185 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $3.52 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $3.88 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $4.06 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $3.88 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $3.81 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $4.02 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $3.84 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Volume shelf data not available.
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -2.46% | -4.92% | 37.14% | 42.42% | -29.28% |
| 1 Day | -0.55% | -3.36% | 42.86% | 44.35% | -39.47% |
| 1 Week | -1.40% | -0.36% | 48.57% | 79.46% | -43.56% |
| 2 Weeks | -1.63% | -2.45% | 40.00% | 99.97% | -40.09% |
| 1 Month | -1.23% | -3.23% | 38.24% | 72.19% | -37.67% |
Next earnings: September 23, 2026 (10 days away)
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 12.0% | 44.4% | 9 |
| Feb | -6.1% | 55.6% | 9 |
| Mar | -15.9% | 22.2% | 9 |
| Apr | -3.0% | 44.4% | 9 |
| May | 9.0% | 55.6% | 9 |
| Jun | 15.1% | 77.8% | 9 |
| Jul | 6.3% | 55.6% | 9 |
| Aug | -6.4% | 33.3% | 9 |
| Sep | -8.7% | 37.5% | 8 |
| Oct | -0.4% | 50.0% | 8 |
| Nov | 8.0% | 87.5% | 8 |
| Dec | 0.9% | 44.4% | 9 |
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.32% | 52.2% | 414 |
| Tuesday | 0.46% | 50.3% | 457 |
| Wednesday | -0.39% | 46.0% | 452 |
| Thursday | -0.09% | 46.6% | 444 |
| Friday | 0.03% | 46.5% | 443 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 91.4%
Total insider ownership: 4.9%
Founder-led management: Katrina Lake (Founder & Executive Chairperson)
| Total Filings | 21 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$3.4M |
| Net Shares Change | -611,265 |
| % of Float | -0.6% |
| C-Suite Filings | 18 |
| Clusters Detected | 2 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Katrina | -$1.6M | 1 | N/A | |
| O'Connor Casey | Chief Legal Officer | -$1.1M | 4 | N/A |
| Bacos Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | -$750,870.36 | 3 | N/A |
| Aufderhaar David | Chief Financial Officer | -$460,164.458 | 2 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 – 2026-02-04 | 4 | 3 | -$668,874.036 | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-07-08 – 2026-07-21 | 5 | 3 | -$865,306.48 | 5 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | O'Connor Casey | Chief Legal Officer | -$196,560 | Transaction at $3.93, now -25.0% |
| 2026-07-08 | Aufderhaar David | Chief Financial Officer | -$257,432.48 | Transaction at $3.79, now -22.1% |
| 2026-04-13 | O'Connor Casey | Chief Legal Officer | -$185,010 | Transaction at $3.08, now -4.3% |
| 2026-01-22 | O'Connor Casey | Chief Legal Officer | -$464,651.238 | Transaction at $4.52, now -34.7% |
| 2025-10-21 | O'Connor Casey | Chief Legal Officer | -$220,505 | Transaction at $4.41, now -33.1% |
| 2026-08-05 | Bacos Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | -$162,076 | Transaction at $3.28, now -10.2% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stitch Fix (SFIX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for SFIX on Trend Edge →