YUMC — Yum China Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Yum China Holdings Inc

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company operates KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts. The company also offers online food deliver services. Yum China Holdings, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$44.56
Market Cap$15.75B
Float329.9M
Shares Outstanding351.0M
P/E (Forward)15.29
P/E (TTM)17.88
Price/Sales (TTM)1.30
vs. Analyst Target+38.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.67%
Revenue (TTM)$12.09B
Earnings Growth (YoY)13.00%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$61.69 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.26B $784M $1.27B $1.16B
2021 $9.85B $990M $1.41B $1.25B
2022 $9.57B $442M $1.43B $1.26B
2023 $10.98B $827M $8.08B $1.11B
2024 $11.30B $911M $1.89B $1.68B
2025 $11.80B $929M $2.04B $1.82B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.79B $215M
Sep 2025 $3.21B $282M
Dec 2025 $2.82B $140M
Mar 2026 $3.27B $309M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership78.6%
Short Float1.5%
% of All Funds Holding7.97%
Number of Funds Holding655

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$48.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$47.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$47.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$47.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$47.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$46.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$46.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 resistance 1.21x 1 months ago
$34.00 support 1.25x 19 months ago
$30.30 support 1.01x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.52% 0.50% 58.97% 12.98% -16.29%
1 Day 1.02% 0.84% 58.97% 13.85% -15.22%
1 Week 1.75% 1.24% 58.97% 17.07% -16.93%
2 Weeks 1.73% 0.53% 51.28% 24.50% -12.79%
1 Month 1.35% 0.50% 55.26% 28.82% -21.60%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%50.0%10
Feb5.7%70.0%10
Mar-2.3%40.0%10
Apr2.6%60.0%10
May-0.9%44.4%9
Jun1.5%66.7%9
Jul-0.6%44.4%9
Aug1.8%44.4%9
Sep1.9%33.3%9
Oct-2.6%44.4%9
Nov4.7%70.0%10
Dec-0.7%30.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 48.7% 450
Tuesday 0.17% 51.6% 496
Wednesday 0.15% 49.5% 493
Thursday -0.00% 49.4% 484
Friday -0.03% 50.7% 485

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$9.3M
Net Shares Change-95,628
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wat Joey Chief Executive Officer -$6.3M 2 2 sell
Lu Xueling Controller and PAO -$1.3M 1 2 sell
Zhang Leila Chief Technology Officer -$650,019.9 2 4 sell
Wang Warton General Manager, KFC -$395,296.9 1 2 sell
Kuai Jeff General Manager, Pizza Hut -$248,037.58 1 2 sell
HUANG Duoduo (Howard) Chief Supply Chain Officer -$235,158.72 1 2 sell
DING Jerry Chief People Officer -$165,420 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-21 – 2025-11-25 3 3 -$878,493.2 3 C-suite
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-17 4 3 -$6.7M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-25 Lu Xueling Controller and PAO -$1.3M Transaction at $46.12, now -3.4%
2026-02-06 Zhang Leila Chief Technology Officer -$286,900 Transaction at $45.69, now -2.5%
2025-12-12 Zhang Leila Chief Technology Officer -$363,119.9 Transaction at $38.51, now +15.7%
2026-02-17 Wat Joey Chief Executive Officer -$5.7M Transaction at $55.18, now -19.2%
2025-11-25 Wang Warton General Manager, KFC -$395,296.9 Transaction at $39.22, now +13.6%
2025-11-25 HUANG Duoduo (Howard) Chief Supply Chain Officer -$235,158.72 Transaction at $39.06, now +14.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for YUMC on Trend Edge →