Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
CAVA Group, Inc. owns and operates a chain of restaurants under the CAVA brand in the United States. It also offers dips, spreads, and dressings through grocery stores. In addition, the company provides walk-the-line, online, and mobile ordering platforms. CAVA Group, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $82.20 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $9.47B |
| Float | 104.7M |
| Shares Outstanding | 116.5M |
| P/E (Forward) | 153.85 |
| P/E (TTM) | 156.29 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 7.36 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +14.0% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 4.79% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 6.38% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.29B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | -9.10% |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $93.72 (17 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $932M | $60.8M | $118M | $77.3M |
| 2021 | $500M | -$37.4M | $82.2M | $12.1M |
| 2022 | $564M | -$59.0M | $98.0M | $27.9M |
| 2023 | $729M | $13.3M | $180M | $78.9M |
| 2024 | $964M | $130M | $242M | $121M |
| 2025 | $1.18B | $63.7M | $217M | $144M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $281M | $18.4M |
| Sep 2025 | $292M | $14.7M |
| Dec 2025 | $275M | $4.9M |
| Mar 2026 | $438M | $23.6M |
| Insider Ownership | 5.8% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 97.6% |
| Short Float | 12.2% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 6.11% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 502 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $84.03 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $68.72 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $83.96 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $0.00 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $68.89 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $86.93 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $0.00 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $94.00 | resistance | 1.15x | 11 months ago |
| $130.00 | resistance | 1.03x | 14 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 3.40% | 4.36% | 66.67% | 15.95% | -20.95% |
| 1 Day | 3.46% | 1.36% | 58.33% | 26.36% | -16.63% |
| 1 Week | -0.48% | -3.34% | 45.45% | 17.29% | -18.88% |
| 2 Weeks | 0.50% | -1.92% | 36.36% | 30.38% | -19.83% |
| 1 Month | -1.12% | -3.59% | 45.45% | 38.71% | -25.99% |
Next earnings: August 7, 2026 (71 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.22% | 48.9% | 139 |
| Tuesday | 0.20% | 43.8% | 153 |
| Wednesday | 0.41% | 58.7% | 150 |
| Thursday | -0.30% | 51.0% | 145 |
| Friday | 0.21% | 50.7% | 150 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 97.6%
Total insider ownership: 5.8%
Founder-led management: Brett Schulman (Chief Executive Officer, President and Director), Ted Xenohristos (Founder, Chief Concept Officer)
| Total Filings | 27 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$12.1M |
| Net Shares Change | -88,430 |
| % of Float | -0.1% |
| C-Suite Filings | 27 |
| Clusters Detected | 4 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costanza Kelly | Chief People Officer | -$3.3M | 2 | 1 sell |
| Bertram Kenneth Robert | CLO and Secretary | -$1.7M | 4 | 2 sell |
| Xenohristos Theodoros | Chief Concept Officer | -$721,259 | 1 | N/A |
| Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | -$521,108.36 | 2 | 2 sell |
| Schulman Brett | CEO and President | +$219,763.318 | 1 | 1 buy |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-18 – 2025-06-18 | 7 | 7 | -$3.6M | 7 C-suite |
| 2026-01-23 – 2026-01-29 | 11 | 6 | -$2.6M | 11 C-suite |
| 2026-03-02 – 2026-03-06 | 3 | 3 | -$3.8M | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-05-12 – 2026-05-22 | 3 | 3 | -$1.9M | 3 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Bertram Kenneth Robert | CLO and Secretary | -$1.2M | Transaction at $80.33, now +2.3% |
| 2026-05-22 | Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | -$350,028.36 | Transaction at $43.36, now +89.6% |
| 2026-03-02 | Costanza Kelly | Chief People Officer | -$2.5M | Transaction at $45.60, now +80.3% |
| 2026-03-02 | Phillips Adam David | Chief Accounting Officer | -$171,080 | Transaction at $85.54, now -3.9% |
| 2025-11-12 | Schulman Brett | CEO and President | +$219,763.318 | Transaction at $27.39, now +200.1% |
| 2025-11-28 | Bertram Kenneth Robert | CLO and Secretary | -$192,051.6 | Transaction at $50.70, now +62.1% |
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AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for CAVA on Trend Edge →