SHAK — Shake Shack Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SHAK Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 28, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Shake Shack Inc

Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. It offers burger, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in New York, New York. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$58.60
Market Cap$2.41B
Float38.5M
Shares Outstanding40.4M
P/E (Forward)48.54
P/E (TTM)57.47
Price/Sales (TTM)1.62
vs. Analyst Target+40.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.48%
Revenue (TTM)$1.49B
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$82.04 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $523M -$42.2M $213M $5.6M
2021 $740M -$4.6M $307M $44.5M
2022 $900M -$21.2M $382M $51.5M
2023 $1.09B $20.3M $478M $112M
2024 $1.25B $10.2M $574M $121M
2025 $1.45B $45.7M $260M $181M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $356M $17.1M
Sep 2025 $367M $12.5M
Dec 2025 $401M $11.8M
Mar 2026 $367M -$290,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership108.3%
Short Float11.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.21%
Number of Funds Holding346

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$59.92Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$83.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$96.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$85.36Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$81.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$97.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$91.50Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$63.00 resistance 1.45x 0 months ago
$103.00 resistance 1.99x 1 months ago
$118.00 resistance 1.07x 10 months ago
$138.00 resistance 1.17x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (46 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.55% -0.01% 47.83% 11.52% -17.88%
1 Day -0.49% -1.54% 43.48% 18.24% -20.64%
1 Week -1.00% -0.34% 45.65% 31.47% -24.83%
2 Weeks -0.81% -0.74% 47.83% 41.21% -36.45%
1 Month 1.72% -2.45% 47.83% 54.68% -38.66%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.4%63.6%11
Feb5.4%58.3%12
Mar-5.6%25.0%12
Apr8.1%58.3%12
May4.4%66.7%12
Jun-0.9%41.7%12
Jul1.3%36.4%11
Aug-0.3%27.3%11
Sep-3.8%27.3%11
Oct0.4%45.5%11
Nov3.2%72.7%11
Dec-3.6%27.3%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.17% 45.5% 538
Tuesday 0.17% 51.2% 592
Wednesday 0.16% 51.4% 589
Thursday 0.12% 52.7% 579
Friday 0.00% 51.4% 574

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value+$123,858.85
Net Shares Change50,633
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Meyer Daniel Harris +$2.0M 1 1 buy
Silverman Josh +$500,525.33 1 1 buy
Lynch Robert Chief Executive Officer +$301,940 1 1 buy
Balbale Sumaiya +$249,865.916 1 1 buy
Chapman Charles J III +$122,725.8 1 1 buy
Sentell Stephanie Ann Chief Operations Officer -$84,424.18 4 N/A
Flug Jeffrey +$61,295.5 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-18 6 6 +$3.2M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 Lynch Robert Chief Executive Officer +$301,940 Transaction at $60.39, now -3.0%
2026-05-18 Silverman Josh +$500,525.33 Transaction at $60.38, now -2.9%
2026-05-18 Flug Jeffrey +$61,295.5 Transaction at $61.30, now -4.4%
2026-05-18 Chapman Charles J III +$122,725.8 Transaction at $61.36, now -4.5%
2026-05-18 Balbale Sumaiya +$249,865.916 Transaction at $61.42, now -4.6%
2026-05-18 Meyer Daniel Harris +$2.0M Transaction at $61.88, now -5.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SHAK on Trend Edge →